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The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +1.43$

Invest 5.11$

Average return 6.53$

ROI +28.0%

Chance of profit 60%

With float: invest at least 13.19 $, profit at most −6.66 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×9

P90 | Facility Negative

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0771

4.60 $

at 0.51

Steam

×1

R8 Revolver | Bone Forged

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0062

0.50 $

at 0.50

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 5.11 $ +1.43 (+28.0%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

P90 | Facility Negative

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1662

0.18 $

at 0.18

Steam

×6

P90 | Facility Negative

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0756

3.07 $

at 0.51

Steam

×2

MP5-SD | Desert Strike

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0756

0.67 $

at 0.33

Steam

×1

R8 Revolver | Bone Forged

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0049

0.50 $

at 0.50

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 4.42 $ +0.95 (+21.6%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

P90 | Facility Negative

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1625

0.35 $

at 0.18

Steam

×3

P90 | Facility Negative

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0743

1.53 $

at 0.51

Steam

×4

MP5-SD | Desert Strike

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0743

1.34 $

at 0.33

Steam

×1

R8 Revolver | Bone Forged

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0038

0.50 $

at 0.50

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 3.73 $ +0.48 (+12.9%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 60%
Losing outcome 10%
About break-even 30%

in profit

best

AUG | Random Access

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

12.50 $ 30.00%

Steam

about break-even

Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.097999

5.61 $ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

MAG-7 | Core Breach

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.139999

6.44 $ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

P2000 | Acid Etched

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.139999

1.39 $ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Sawed-Off | Apocalypto

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.139999

1.27 $ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

SCAR-20 | Enforcer

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.139999

1.29 $ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

SG 553 | Darkwing

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.139999

1.53 $ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

SSG 08 | Fever Dream

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.100799

1.99 $ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Prisma 2 Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The 2018 Nuke Collection Variant 4 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Prisma 2 Collection Variant 5 The Anubis Collection instead of The Prisma 2 Collection Variant 6 The Cache Collection instead of The Prisma 2 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +0.44 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +1.24 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2018 Nuke Collection and The Prisma 2 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 11 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2198968 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Clutch Collection · profit 1.49$ · invest 5.01$
SG 553 | Aloha (Factory New) instead of R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077146 instead of 0.077194
Craft 2199392 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 1.48$ · invest 5.14$
rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077088 instead of 0.077194
Craft 2198918 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Breakout Collection · profit 1.48$ · invest 5.20$
UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New) instead of R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076934 instead of 0.077194
Craft 2199322 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Revolver Case Collection · profit 1.43$ · invest 5.27$
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Outbreak (Factory New) instead of R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077088 instead of 0.077194
Craft 2199033 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 1.42$ · invest 5.31$
rare inputs

UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New) instead of R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074475 instead of 0.077194
Craft 2199183 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Lake Collection · profit 1.41$ · invest 5.06$
SG 553 | Anodized Navy (Factory New) instead of R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074837 instead of 0.077194
Craft 2198955 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Chroma 3 Collection · profit 1.40$ · invest 5.18$
rare inputs

M249 | Spectre (Factory New) instead of R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077088 instead of 0.077194
Craft 2198866 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Ascent Collection · profit 1.40$ · invest 5.52$
P2000 | Royal Baroque (Factory New) instead of R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New)
Craft 2199063 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Gallery Collection · profit 1.39$ · invest 5.28$
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Trail Blazer (Factory New) instead of R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077274 instead of 0.077194
Craft 2198961 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Chroma Collection · profit 1.37$ · invest 5.50$
rare inputs

XM1014 | Quicksilver (Factory New) instead of R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077088 instead of 0.077194
Craft 2199034 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 1.36$ · invest 5.31$
rare inputs

UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New) instead of R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077272 instead of 0.077194

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build