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The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Spy Tech Collection

Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +704.28₸

Invest 1 155.52₸

Average return 1 859.80₸

ROI +61.0%

Chance of profit 32%

With float: invest at least 2 747.10 ₸, profit at most −887.30 ₸

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Souvenir M249 | Midnight Palm

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0056

621.06 ₸

at 621.06

souvenirSteam

×9

XM1014 | Black Site

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0765

534.46 ₸

at 59.38

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 155.52 ₸ +704.28 (+61.0%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −684 ₸

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Souvenir Five-SeveN | Withered Vine

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1649

332.84 ₸

at 332.84

souvenirSteam

×6

Souvenir M249 | Midnight Palm

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0045

3 726.33 ₸

at 621.06

souvenirSteam

×1

SCAR-20 | Arctic Camo Panels

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1649

20.69 ₸

at 20.69

Steam

×2

XM1014 | Black Site

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

118.77 ₸

at 59.38

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 4 198.63 ₸ +92.26 (+2.2%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 33%
Losing outcome 45%
About break-even 22%

at a loss

AUG | Signal Scanner

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 176.58 ₸ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

M4A4 | Dark Operative

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

3 183.48 ₸ 22.50%

Steam

about break-even

MP9 | Spy Prototype

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 298.02 ₸ 22.50%

Steam

at a loss

worst

R8 Revolver | Monarch

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 033.28 ₸ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

G3SG1 | New Roots

Factory New

float up to 0.038499

5 098.87 ₸ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

Galil AR | Amber Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.027999

10 469.38 ₸ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

Nova | Quick Sand

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

4 869.40 ₸ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

P250 | Black & Tan

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

4 892.06 ₸ 2.50%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Spy Tech Collection

Variant 2 The 2021 Mirage Collection instead of The Spy Tech Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Spy Tech Collection Variant 4 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The 2021 Dust 2 Collection Variant 5 The Arabesque Collection instead of The Spy Tech Collection Variant 6 The Train Collection instead of The 2021 Dust 2 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +394.05 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +627.47 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Dust 2 Collection and The Spy Tech Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2201259 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Spy Tech Collection · profit 713.87₸ · invest 1 066.79₸
Souvenir CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm (Factory New) instead of Souvenir M249 | Midnight Palm (Factory New)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Spy Tech Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

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How to build