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The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Train Collection

Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +59.18₴

Invest 55.81₴

Average return 114.99₴

ROI +106.1%

Chance of profit 46%

With float: invest at least 137.84 ₴, profit at most −22.85 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

Souvenir R8 Revolver | Desert Brush

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0042

45.24 ₴

at 9.05

souvenirSteam

×5

UMP-45 | Urban DDPAT

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

10.56 ₴

at 2.11

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 55.81 ₴ +59.18 (+106.1%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 46%
Losing outcome 42%
About break-even 12%

in profit

AUG | Spalted Wood

Factory New

float up to 0.006486

68.53 ₴ 12.50%

Steam

in profit

Five-SeveN | Withered Vine

Factory New

float up to 0.006756

155.99 ₴ 12.50%

Steam

about break-even

M249 | Midnight Palm

Factory New

float up to 0.006756

63.32 ₴ 12.50%

Steam

in profit

MP9 | Old Roots

Factory New

float up to 0.006756

113.64 ₴ 12.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

M4A4 | Urban DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

940.86 ₴ 8.33%

Steam

at a loss

MAC-10 | Candy Apple

Factory New

float up to 0.004054

19.13 ₴ 8.33%

Steam

at a loss

MAG-7 | Metallic DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

5.43 ₴ 8.33%

Steam

at a loss

P250 | Metallic DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

5.26 ₴ 8.33%

Steam

at a loss

P90 | Ash Wood

Factory New

float up to 0.006081

9.05 ₴ 8.33%

Steam

at a loss

worst

SCAR-20 | Carbon Fiber

Factory New

float up to 0.001621

4.95 ₴ 8.33%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Train Collection

Variant 2 The Lake Collection instead of The Train Collection Variant 3 The Safehouse Collection instead of The Train Collection Variant 4 The Ancient Collection instead of The Train Collection Variant 5 The Italy Collection instead of The Train Collection Variant 6 The Dust 2 Collection instead of The Train Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +35.54 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +46.36 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Dust 2 Collection and The Train Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2201300 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Train Collection · profit 64.61₴ · invest 40.50₴
Souvenir P250 | Drought (Factory New) instead of Souvenir R8 Revolver | Desert Brush (Factory New); UMP-45 | Urban DDPAT (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074045 instead of 0.074809
Craft 2203003 · The 2021 Vertigo Collection + The Train Collection · profit 55.89₴ · invest 108.52₴
sells slowly rare inputs

Souvenir Dual Berettas | Oil Change (Factory New) instead of Souvenir R8 Revolver | Desert Brush (Factory New); UMP-45 | Urban DDPAT (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074357 instead of 0.074809
Craft 2205893 · The Anubis Collection + The Train Collection · profit 50.23₴ · invest 73.81₴
AUG | Snake Pit (Factory New) instead of Souvenir R8 Revolver | Desert Brush (Factory New); UMP-45 | Urban DDPAT (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074592 instead of 0.074809

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Train Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

More

How to build