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The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Lake Collection

Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade

Average profit +118.60₴

Invest 262.00₴

Average return 380.61₴

ROI +45.3%

Chance of profit 40%

With float: invest at least 629.61 ₴, profit at most −249.00 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

168.59 ₴

at 28.10

Steam

×2

Souvenir Dual Berettas | Drift Wood

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

71.43 ₴

at 35.71

souvenirSteam

×2

PP-Bizon | Night Ops

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0044

21.98 ₴

at 10.99

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 262.00 ₴ +118.60 (+45.3%)

What you get 7 outcomes

Profitable outcome 40%
Losing outcome 60%

at a loss

M249 | Humidor

Factory New

float up to 0.058333

183.86 ₴ 20.00%

Steam

in profit

MP9 | Music Box

Factory New

float up to 0.064166

343.44 ₴ 20.00%

Steam

at a loss

SG 553 | Desert Blossom

Factory New

float up to 0.057166

272.41 ₴ 20.00%

Steam

in profit

best

USP-S | Purple DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.064166

1 348.63 ₴ 20.00%

Steam

at a loss

P90 | Teardown

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

32.82 ₴ 6.67%

Steam

at a loss

worst

SG 553 | Anodized Navy

Factory New

float up to 0.009333

20.68 ₴ 6.67%

Steam

at a loss

USP-S | Night Ops

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

66.98 ₴ 6.67%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Lake Collection

Variant 2 The Bank Collection instead of The Lake Collection Variant 3 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The Lake Collection Variant 4 The Sport & Field Collection instead of The Lake Collection Variant 5 The Train Collection instead of The Lake Collection Variant 6 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Lake Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +49.46 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +80.97 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Mirage Collection and The Lake Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 8 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2200986 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection · profit 131.56₴ · invest 248.11₴
rare inputs

MP5-SD | Neon Squeezer (Field-Tested) instead of PP-Bizon | Night Ops (Factory New); CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074288 instead of 0.075114; Souvenir Dual Berettas | Drift Wood (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074288 instead of 0.075114
Craft 2200464 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Ascent Collection · profit 124.26₴ · invest 255.76₴
rare inputs

Nova | Turquoise Pour (Factory New) instead of PP-Bizon | Night Ops (Factory New); CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075210 instead of 0.075114; Souvenir Dual Berettas | Drift Wood (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075210 instead of 0.075114
Craft 2201161 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Safehouse Collection · profit 124.02₴ · invest 255.59₴
rare inputs

AUG | Condemned (Minimal Wear), M249 | Gator Mesh (Factory New) instead of PP-Bizon | Night Ops (Factory New); CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074399 instead of 0.075114; Souvenir Dual Berettas | Drift Wood (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074399 instead of 0.075114
Craft 2200897 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Italy Collection · profit 122.55₴ · invest 259.72₴
rare inputs

P2000 | Granite Marbleized (Minimal Wear), XM1014 | CaliCamo (Factory New) instead of PP-Bizon | Night Ops (Factory New); CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074399 instead of 0.075114; Souvenir Dual Berettas | Drift Wood (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074399 instead of 0.075114
Craft 2200822 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Graphic Design Collection · profit 115.55₴ · invest 280.32₴
rare inputs

Galil AR | NV (Factory New) instead of PP-Bizon | Night Ops (Factory New); CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074897 instead of 0.075114; Souvenir Dual Berettas | Drift Wood (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074897 instead of 0.075114
Craft 2200704 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Dust 2 Collection · profit 115.00₴ · invest 265.57₴
rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Snake Camo (Minimal Wear) instead of PP-Bizon | Night Ops (Factory New); CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 6; CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075063 instead of 0.075114; Souvenir Dual Berettas | Drift Wood (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 2; Souvenir Dual Berettas | Drift Wood (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075063 instead of 0.075114
Craft 2201073 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 113.20₴ · invest 222.11₴
rare inputs

SG 553 | Basket Halftone (Factory New) instead of PP-Bizon | Night Ops (Factory New); CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074163 instead of 0.075114; Souvenir Dual Berettas | Drift Wood (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 2; Souvenir Dual Berettas | Drift Wood (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074163 instead of 0.075114
Craft 2201238 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Sport & Field Collection · profit 110.74₴ · invest 225.28₴
rare inputs

MP5-SD | Savannah Halftone (Field-Tested) instead of PP-Bizon | Night Ops (Factory New); CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 6; CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074162 instead of 0.075114; Souvenir Dual Berettas | Drift Wood (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074162 instead of 0.075114

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Lake Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 7 outcomes

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How to build