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The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Overpass Collection

Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +430.45₸

Invest 855.60₸

Average return 1 286.05₸

ROI +50.3%

Chance of profit 90%

With float: invest at least 2 124.81 ₸, profit at most −838.76 ₸

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Souvenir P250 | Drought

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0058

60.45 ₸

at 60.45

souvenirSteam

×8

Souvenir M249 | Contrast Spray

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1691

643.56 ₸

at 80.44

souvenirSteam

×1

Souvenir M249 | Contrast Spray

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0766

151.59 ₸

at 151.59

souvenirSteam

Set · 10 pcs 855.60 ₸ +430.45 (+50.3%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 68%
Losing outcome 10%
About break-even 22%

in profit

Desert Eagle | Urban DDPAT

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

1 613.70 ₸ 22.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

Glock-18 | Night

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

2 554.93 ₸ 22.50%

Steam

about break-even

P2000 | Grassland

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

1 016.54 ₸ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

MP7 | Gunsmoke

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

1 160.91 ₸ 22.50%

Steam

at a loss

CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm

Factory New

float up to 0.060810

614.69 ₸ 2.50%

Steam

at a loss

Dual Berettas | Drift Wood

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.072972

383.14 ₸ 2.50%

Steam

at a loss

worst

FAMAS | CaliCamo

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.072972

369.83 ₸ 2.50%

Steam

at a loss

P90 | Verdant Growth

Factory New

float up to 0.057162

676.22 ₸ 2.50%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Overpass Collection

Variant 2 The Lake Collection instead of The Overpass Collection Variant 3 The Train Collection instead of The Overpass Collection Variant 4 The Safehouse Collection instead of The Overpass Collection Variant 5 The Ancient Collection instead of The Overpass Collection Variant 6 The Italy Collection instead of The Overpass Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +144.48 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +328.46 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Mirage Collection and The Overpass Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2230214 · The Italy Collection + The Overpass Collection · profit 432.31₸ · invest 817.49₸
sells slowly rare inputs

Nova | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear) instead of Souvenir P250 | Drought (Factory New); Souvenir M249 | Contrast Spray (Field-Tested): float at most 0.168399 instead of 0.169187; Souvenir M249 | Contrast Spray (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076399 instead of 0.076674
Craft 2208542 · The Bank Collection + The Overpass Collection · profit 430.85₸ · invest 817.06₸
sells slowly rare inputs

Negev | Army Sheen (Factory New) instead of Souvenir P250 | Drought (Factory New); Souvenir M249 | Contrast Spray (Field-Tested): float at most 0.168684 instead of 0.169187; Souvenir M249 | Contrast Spray (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076498 instead of 0.076674
Craft 2205642 · The Anubis Collection + The Overpass Collection · profit 416.75₸ · invest 854.26₸
sells slowly rare inputs

Souvenir XM1014 | Hieroglyph (Minimal Wear) instead of Souvenir P250 | Drought (Factory New); Souvenir M249 | Contrast Spray (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163735 instead of 0.169187; Souvenir M249 | Contrast Spray (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074777 instead of 0.076674

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Overpass Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build