to all crafts

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Spy Tech Collection

Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +3.14$

Invest 6.30$

Average return 9.44$

ROI +49.7%

Chance of profit 45%

With float: invest at least 15.77 $, profit at most −6.33 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×8

CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

5.00 $

at 0.63

Steam

×1

Souvenir CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0038

1.17 $

at 1.17

souvenirSteam

×1

XM1014 | Black Site

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

0.13 $

at 0.13

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 6.30 $ +3.14 (+49.7%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 45%
Losing outcome 55%

at a loss

M249 | Humidor

Factory New

float up to 0.063636

4.09 $ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

MP9 | Music Box

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

7.64 $ 22.50%

Steam

at a loss

SG 553 | Desert Blossom

Factory New

float up to 0.062363

6.06 $ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

best

USP-S | Purple DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

30.00 $ 22.50%

Steam

at a loss

AUG | Signal Scanner

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.127272

0.91 $ 2.50%

Steam

at a loss

M4A4 | Dark Operative

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.127272

1.32 $ 2.50%

Steam

at a loss

MP9 | Spy Prototype

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.127272

1.00 $ 2.50%

Steam

at a loss

worst

R8 Revolver | Monarch

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.127272

0.88 $ 2.50%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Spy Tech Collection

Variant 2 The Bank Collection instead of The Spy Tech Collection Variant 3 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The Spy Tech Collection Variant 4 The Sport & Field Collection instead of The Spy Tech Collection Variant 5 The Train Collection instead of The Spy Tech Collection Variant 6 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Spy Tech Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +1.43 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +2.21 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Mirage Collection and The Spy Tech Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2200424 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Arabesque Collection · profit 3.17$ · invest 6.28$
rare inputs

Dual Berettas | Mystic Conjunction (Minimal Wear) instead of XM1014 | Black Site (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2200927 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Lake Collection · profit 3.03$ · invest 6.35$
rare inputs

XM1014 | Blue Steel (Minimal Wear) instead of XM1014 | Black Site (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2200703 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Dust 2 Collection · profit 3.02$ · invest 6.37$
rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Snake Camo (Minimal Wear) instead of XM1014 | Black Site (Minimal Wear); CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077288 instead of 0.074412; Souvenir CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm (Factory New): float at most 0.006377 instead of 0.003860

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Spy Tech Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build