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The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +17 553.50₸

Invest 12 143.59₸

Average return 29 697.09₸

ROI +144.6%

Chance of profit 40%

With float: invest at least 31 064.65 ₸, profit at most −1 367.51 ₸

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

≈2% of lots fit: the price is understated

×1

Souvenir M249 | Humidor

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0075

1 857.45 ₸

at 1 857.45

souvenirSteam

×9

XM1014 | Run Run Run

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0075

10 286.15 ₸

at 1 142.91

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 12 143.59 ₸ +17 553.50 (+144.6%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 40%
Losing outcome 60%

at a loss

worst

MAC-10 | Derailment

Factory New

float up to 0.007446

4 086.23 ₸ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

Zeus x27 | Charged Up

Factory New

float up to 0.010638

5 817.85 ₸ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

best

Tec-9 | Whiteout

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

94 295.92 ₸ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

AUG | Sand Storm

Factory New

float up to 0.005319

17 848.98 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.067872

51 321.26 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

XM1014 | Elegant Vines

Factory New

float up to 0.003936

17 580.28 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Variant 2 only The Train 2025 Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 5 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 6 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +11 605.50 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +14 678.70 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Mirage Collection and The Train 2025 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 42 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2210155 · The Bravo Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 18 625.92₸ · invest 12 652.24₸
sells slowly rare inputs

G3SG1 | Demeter (Minimal Wear) instead of Souvenir M249 | Humidor (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.006828 instead of 0.007568
Craft 2225872 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 17 834.84₸ · invest 10 713.76₸
sells slowly rare inputs

XM1014 | Slipstream (Factory New) instead of Souvenir M249 | Humidor (Factory New)
Craft 2237296 · The Train 2025 Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 17 756.72₸ · invest 13 547.88₸
sells slowly rare inputs

MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New) instead of Souvenir M249 | Humidor (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.006439 instead of 0.007568
Craft 2237270 · The Train 2025 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 17 446.64₸ · invest 11 004.59₸
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear) instead of Souvenir M249 | Humidor (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.004494 instead of 0.007568
Craft 2237308 · The Train 2025 Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 17 442.33₸ · invest 11 851.80₸
sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

XM1014 | Red Python (Minimal Wear) instead of Souvenir M249 | Humidor (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.007369 instead of 0.007568
Craft 2205014 · The Ancient Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 17 386.01₸ · invest 12 164.76₸
sells slowly rare inputs

Souvenir FAMAS | Dark Water (Minimal Wear) instead of Souvenir M249 | Humidor (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.006439 instead of 0.007568
Craft 2198663 · The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 17 071.65₸ · invest 10 636.63₸
sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New) instead of Souvenir M249 | Humidor (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.004332 instead of 0.007568
Craft 2236088 · The Safehouse Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 17 058.31₸ · invest 10 607.50₸
sells slowly rare inputs

Five-SeveN | Silver Quartz (Factory New) instead of Souvenir M249 | Humidor (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.007308 instead of 0.007568
Craft 2236504 · The Shattered Web Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 17 026.65₸ · invest 11 246.67₸
sells slowly rare inputs

M249 | Warbird (Minimal Wear) instead of Souvenir M249 | Humidor (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.005232 instead of 0.007568
Craft 2222080 · The Falchion Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 16 992.39₸ · invest 10 607.39₸
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New) instead of Souvenir M249 | Humidor (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.007889 instead of 0.007568
Craft 2199438 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 16 988.41₸ · invest 11 153.13₸
sells slowly rare inputs

P90 | Facility Negative (Factory New) instead of Souvenir M249 | Humidor (Factory New)
Craft 2233581 · The Phoenix Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 16 986.41₸ · invest 10 561.58₸
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear) instead of Souvenir M249 | Humidor (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.005684 instead of 0.007568
Craft 2236684 · The Snakebite Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 16 947.41₸ · invest 10 502.20₸
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New) instead of Souvenir M249 | Humidor (Factory New)
Craft 2233051 · The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 16 935.36₸ · invest 10 553.35₸
sells slowly rare inputs

Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New) instead of Souvenir M249 | Humidor (Factory New)
Craft 2234714 · The Radiant Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 16 919.13₸ · invest 10 611.19₸
sells slowly rare inputs

M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New) instead of Souvenir M249 | Humidor (Factory New)
Craft 2200251 · The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 16 909.03₸ · invest 15 069.06₸
sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Souvenir Galil AR | Amber Fade (Factory New) instead of Souvenir M249 | Humidor (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.007308 instead of 0.007568
Craft 2229582 · The Horizon Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 16 902.83₸ · invest 10 734.45₸
sells slowly rare inputs

Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New) instead of Souvenir M249 | Humidor (Factory New)
Craft 2226619 · The Gamma Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 16 900.96₸ · invest 10 506.31₸
sells slowly rare inputs

SG 553 | Aerial (Factory New) instead of Souvenir M249 | Humidor (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.007752 instead of 0.007568
Craft 2213817 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 16 900.50₸ · invest 10 455.43₸
sells slowly rare inputs

Negev | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) instead of Souvenir M249 | Humidor (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.005541 instead of 0.007568
Craft 2215845 · The Chroma Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 16 896.43₸ · invest 10 691.47₸
sells slowly rare inputs

XM1014 | Quicksilver (Factory New) instead of Souvenir M249 | Humidor (Factory New)
Craft 2208073 · The Ascent Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 16 894.28₸ · invest 10 700.82₸
sells slowly rare inputs

P2000 | Royal Baroque (Factory New) instead of Souvenir M249 | Humidor (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.007752 instead of 0.007568
Craft 2235744 · The Revolver Case Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 16 894.08₸ · invest 10 586.28₸
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Outbreak (Factory New) instead of Souvenir M249 | Humidor (Factory New)
Craft 2209271 · The Boreal Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 16 890.74₸ · invest 10 457.41₸
sells slowly rare inputs

XM1014 | Copperflage (Factory New) instead of Souvenir M249 | Humidor (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.007752 instead of 0.007568
Craft 2234365 · The Prisma Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 16 881.88₸ · invest 10 812.75₸
sells slowly rare inputs

FAMAS | Crypsis (Factory New) instead of Souvenir M249 | Humidor (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.007668 instead of 0.007568
Craft 2236257 · The Shadow Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 16 879.89₸ · invest 10 738.88₸
sells slowly rare inputs

MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New) instead of Souvenir M249 | Humidor (Factory New)
Craft 2237290 · The Train 2025 Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection · profit 16 879.41₸ · invest 10 984.23₸
sells slowly rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Cobalt Halftone (Minimal Wear) instead of Souvenir M249 | Humidor (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.003780 instead of 0.007568
Craft 2203958 · The Achroma Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 16 867.52₸ · invest 10 605.36₸
sells slowly rare inputs

P90 | Aeolian Light (Factory New) instead of Souvenir M249 | Humidor (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.007825 instead of 0.007568
Craft 2218448 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 16 867.27₸ · invest 10 442.71₸
sells slowly rare inputs

Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested) instead of Souvenir M249 | Humidor (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.005968 instead of 0.007568
Craft 2230888 · The Kilowatt Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 16 861.52₸ · invest 10 417.16₸
sells slowly rare inputs

Dual Berettas | Hideout (Factory New) instead of Souvenir M249 | Humidor (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.007887 instead of 0.007568
Craft 2237124 · The Sport & Field Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 16 859.24₸ · invest 10 709.80₸
sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

P250 | Small Game (Factory New) instead of Souvenir M249 | Humidor (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.007889 instead of 0.007568
Craft 2220744 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 16 855.20₸ · invest 10 406.15₸
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New) instead of Souvenir M249 | Humidor (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.007703 instead of 0.007568
Craft 2228945 · The Harlequin Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 16 852.33₸ · invest 10 681.69₸
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New) instead of Souvenir M249 | Humidor (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.007889 instead of 0.007568
Craft 2223935 · The Fracture Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 16 850.87₸ · invest 10 438.00₸
sells slowly rare inputs

SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Factory New) instead of Souvenir M249 | Humidor (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.007889 instead of 0.007568
Craft 2233964 · The Prisma 2 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 16 844.64₸ · invest 10 513.96₸
sells slowly rare inputs

R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New) instead of Souvenir M249 | Humidor (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.007752 instead of 0.007568
Craft 2214969 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 16 844.42₸ · invest 10 547.10₸
sells slowly rare inputs

M249 | Spectre (Factory New) instead of Souvenir M249 | Humidor (Factory New)
Craft 2225001 · The Gallery Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 16 836.56₸ · invest 10 594.08₸
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Trail Blazer (Factory New) instead of Souvenir M249 | Humidor (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.007892 instead of 0.007568
Craft 2236848 · The Spectrum 2 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 16 823.69₸ · invest 10 472.43₸
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of Souvenir M249 | Humidor (Factory New)
Craft 2236990 · The Spectrum Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 16 815.68₸ · invest 10 531.49₸
sells slowly rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of Souvenir M249 | Humidor (Factory New)
Craft 2235060 · The Recoil Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 16 814.19₸ · invest 10 458.37₸
sells slowly rare inputs

Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New) instead of Souvenir M249 | Humidor (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.007889 instead of 0.007568
Craft 2217004 · The Clutch Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 16 805.01₸ · invest 10 471.89₸
sells slowly rare inputs

SG 553 | Aloha (Factory New) instead of Souvenir M249 | Humidor (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.007668 instead of 0.007568
Craft 2235422 · The Revolution Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 16 803.64₸ · invest 10 456.28₸
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Fragments (Factory New) instead of Souvenir M249 | Humidor (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.007976 instead of 0.007568
Craft 2211075 · The Breakout Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 16 795.60₸ · invest 10 556.40₸
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New) instead of Souvenir M249 | Humidor (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.007308 instead of 0.007568

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

More

How to build