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The Alpha Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +44.23$

Invest 45.05$

Average return 89.28$

ROI +98.2%

Chance of profit 35%

With float: invest at least 107.96 $, profit at most −18.68 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

≈1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

AUG | Anodized Navy

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0043

22.38 $

at 22.38

Steam

×9

XM1014 | Run Run Run

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0043

22.67 $

at 2.52

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 45.05 $ +44.23 (+98.2%)

What you get 5 outcomes

Profitable outcome 35%
Losing outcome 65%

at a loss

worst

MAC-10 | Derailment

Factory New

float up to 0.007446

9.00 $ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

Zeus x27 | Charged Up

Factory New

float up to 0.010638

12.82 $ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

Tec-9 | Whiteout

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

207.79 $ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

best

FAMAS | Spitfire

Factory New

float up to 0.067872

643.57 $ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

SCAR-20 | Emerald

Factory New

float up to 0.000851

32.14 $ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Alpha Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Variant 2 only The Train 2025 Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Alpha Collection Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Alpha Collection Variant 5 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Alpha Collection Variant 6 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The Alpha Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +28.90 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +38.54 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Alpha Collection and The Train 2025 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Alpha Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 5 outcomes

More

How to build