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The Ascent Collection + The Falchion Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +2.05$

Invest 6.81$

Average return 8.86$

ROI +30.2%

Chance of profit 49%

With float: invest at least 16.21 $, profit at most −7.35 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

P90 | Reef Grief

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0775

2.45 $

at 0.49

Steam

×4

P2000 | Royal Baroque

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0066

3.66 $

at 0.91

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0066

0.71 $

at 0.71

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 6.81 $ +2.05 (+30.2%)

What you get 7 outcomes

Profitable outcome 49%
Losing outcome 51%

in profit

AK-47 | Midnight Laminate

Factory New

float up to 0.052499

15.58 $ 45.00%

Steam

at a loss

USP-S | Royal Guard

Factory New

float up to 0.041999

5.32 $ 45.00%

Steam

at a loss

FAMAS | Neural Net

Factory New

float up to 0.041999

5.15 $ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

best

P2000 | Handgun

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

19.04 $ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

M4A4 | Evil Daimyo

Factory New

float up to 0.036399

9.01 $ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

4.94 $ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

float up to 0.175699

1.08 $ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Ascent Collection + The Falchion Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Ascent Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 4 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Ascent Collection Variant 5 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 6 The Glove Collection instead of The Falchion Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +1.00 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +1.66 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Ascent Collection and The Falchion Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 12 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2207861 · The Ascent Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 2.08$ · invest 6.71$
rare inputs

UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Reef Grief (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075648 instead of 0.077567; P2000 | Royal Baroque (Factory New): float at most 0.004942 instead of 0.006621
Craft 2207934 · The Ascent Collection + The Revolver Case Collection · profit 2.08$ · invest 6.76$
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Outbreak (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Reef Grief (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077329 instead of 0.077567; P2000 | Royal Baroque (Factory New): float at most 0.006413 instead of 0.006621
Craft 2207511 · The Ascent Collection + The Clutch Collection · profit 2.06$ · invest 6.33$
P2000 | Urban Hazard (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Reef Grief (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077090 instead of 0.077567; P2000 | Royal Baroque (Factory New): float at most 0.006203 instead of 0.006621
Craft 2207992 · The Ascent Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 2.05$ · invest 6.49$
SG 553 | Heavy Metal (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Reef Grief (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074504 instead of 0.077567; P2000 | Royal Baroque (Factory New): float at most 0.003941 instead of 0.006621
Craft 2207750 · The Ascent Collection + The Kilowatt Collection · profit 2.00$ · invest 6.39$
Dual Berettas | Hideout (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Reef Grief (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077566 instead of 0.077567; P2000 | Royal Baroque (Factory New): float at most 0.006620 instead of 0.006621
Craft 2207552 · The Ascent Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection · profit 1.99$ · invest 6.36$
SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Reef Grief (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077430 instead of 0.077567; P2000 | Royal Baroque (Factory New): float at most 0.006501 instead of 0.006621
Craft 2207610 · The Ascent Collection + The Fracture Collection · profit 1.98$ · invest 6.43$
SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New)
Craft 2207869 · The Ascent Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection · profit 1.97$ · invest 6.60$
rare inputs

R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Reef Grief (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077466 instead of 0.077567; P2000 | Royal Baroque (Factory New): float at most 0.006533 instead of 0.006621
Craft 2207494 · The Ascent Collection + The Chroma 3 Collection · profit 1.97$ · invest 6.68$
rare inputs

M249 | Spectre (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Reef Grief (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077329 instead of 0.077567; P2000 | Royal Baroque (Factory New): float at most 0.006413 instead of 0.006621
Craft 2208016 · The Ascent Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 1.90$ · invest 6.64$
rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Reef Grief (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077329 instead of 0.077567; P2000 | Royal Baroque (Factory New): float at most 0.006413 instead of 0.006621
Craft 2207912 · The Ascent Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 1.90$ · invest 6.48$
Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New)
Craft 2207926 · The Ascent Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 1.88$ · invest 6.48$
SCAR-20 | Fragments (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Reef Grief (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077630 instead of 0.077567; P2000 | Royal Baroque (Factory New): float at most 0.006677 instead of 0.006621

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Ascent Collection + The Falchion Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 7 outcomes

More

How to build