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The Ascent Collection + The Harlequin Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +2.56$

Invest 5.01$

Average return 7.57$

ROI +51.1%

Chance of profit 95%

With float: invest at least 12.39 $, profit at most −4.82 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

P90 | Reef Grief

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0758

0.49 $

at 0.49

Steam

×8

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0758

3.65 $

at 0.46

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0050

0.87 $

at 0.87

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 5.01 $ +2.56 (+51.1%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

MP9 | Cobalt Paisley

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

1.80 $

at 0.60

Steam

×1

P2000 | Royal Baroque

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0045

0.91 $

at 0.91

Steam

×6

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

2.74 $

at 0.46

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 5.45 $ +1.60 (+29.3%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 95%
Losing outcome 5%

in profit

best

AWP | Exothermic

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

9.18 $ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

USP-S | Sleeping Potion

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

8.63 $ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

AK-47 | Midnight Laminate

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.074999

8.48 $ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

USP-S | Royal Guard

Factory New

float up to 0.059999

5.32 $ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Ascent Collection + The Harlequin Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Ascent Collection Variant 4 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 5 The Glove Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 6 The Prisma Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +1.69 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +2.14 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Ascent Collection and The Harlequin Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 9 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2227480 · The Glove Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 2.44$ · invest 5.81$
rare inputs

CZ75-Auto | Polymer (Minimal Wear) instead of P90 | Reef Grief (Minimal Wear); UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074087 instead of 0.075809; UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New): float at most 0.003576 instead of 0.005082
Craft 2228791 · The Harlequin Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 2.42$ · invest 4.67$
Tec-9 | Rebel (Minimal Wear) instead of P90 | Reef Grief (Minimal Wear); UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074630 instead of 0.075809; UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New): float at most 0.004051 instead of 0.005082
Craft 2228845 · The Harlequin Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 2.42$ · invest 4.91$
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear) instead of P90 | Reef Grief (Minimal Wear); UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078076 instead of 0.075809; UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New): float at most 0.007067 instead of 0.005082
Craft 2224234 · The Gallery Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 2.42$ · invest 4.92$
rare inputs

M249 | Hypnosis (Minimal Wear) instead of P90 | Reef Grief (Minimal Wear); UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074630 instead of 0.075809; UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New): float at most 0.004051 instead of 0.005082
Craft 2228904 · The Harlequin Collection + The Sport & Field Collection · profit 2.39$ · invest 4.99$
pricier variants exist

P250 | Small Game (Minimal Wear) instead of P90 | Reef Grief (Minimal Wear); UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077088 instead of 0.075809; UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New): float at most 0.006202 instead of 0.005082
Craft 2228606 · The Harlequin Collection + The Italy Collection · profit 2.37$ · invest 4.74$
Sawed-Off | Full Stop (Minimal Wear) instead of P90 | Reef Grief (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2228738 · The Harlequin Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 2.37$ · invest 4.90$
FAMAS | Crypsis (Minimal Wear) instead of P90 | Reef Grief (Minimal Wear); UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075016 instead of 0.075809; UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New): float at most 0.004389 instead of 0.005082
Craft 2220036 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 2.32$ · invest 4.78$
SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New) instead of P90 | Reef Grief (Minimal Wear); UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078516 instead of 0.075809; UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New): float at most 0.007451 instead of 0.005082
Craft 2228691 · The Harlequin Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection · profit 2.31$ · invest 5.11$
Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New) instead of P90 | Reef Grief (Minimal Wear); UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.079240 instead of 0.075809; UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New): float at most 0.008085 instead of 0.005082

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Ascent Collection + The Harlequin Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

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How to build