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The Breakout Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert

Average profit +453.90₴

Invest 3 590.69₴

Average return 4 044.59₴

ROI +12.6%

Chance of profit 55%

With float: invest at least 8 555.79 ₴, profit at most −4 511.20 ₴

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −440 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1683

929.48 ₴

at 929.48

Steam

×7

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1683

1 961.27 ₴

at 280.18

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ MP7 | Abyssal Apparition

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0763

699.94 ₴

at 349.97

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 3 590.69 ₴ +453.90 (+12.6%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −1 439 ₴

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1683

1 858.96 ₴

at 929.48

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1683

1 681.09 ₴

at 280.18

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ MP7 | Abyssal Apparition

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0763

699.94 ₴

at 349.97

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 4 239.99 ₴ +348.30 (+8.2%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −2 439 ₴

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1683

2 788.44 ₴

at 929.48

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1683

1 400.91 ₴

at 280.18

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ MP7 | Abyssal Apparition

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0763

699.94 ₴

at 349.97

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 4 889.29 ₴ +242.70 (+5.0%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −3 438 ₴

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1683

3 717.92 ₴

at 929.48

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1683

1 120.73 ₴

at 280.18

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ MP7 | Abyssal Apparition

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0763

699.94 ₴

at 349.97

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 5 538.59 ₴ +137.10 (+2.5%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −4 437 ₴

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1683

4 647.40 ₴

at 929.48

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1683

840.54 ₴

at 280.18

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ MP7 | Abyssal Apparition

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0763

699.94 ₴

at 349.97

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 6 187.89 ₴ +31.50 (+0.5%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 10%
Losing outcome 45%
About break-even 45%

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Nightwish

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

3 791.30 ₴ 45.00%

Steam

about break-even

StatTrak™ MP9 | Starlight Protector

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.119999

4 260.75 ₴ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Cyrex

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.074999

9 563.63 ₴ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ P90 | Asiimov

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.137999

10 993.54 ₴ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Breakout Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 5 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 6 The Horizon Collection instead of The Breakout Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −45.08 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +391.61 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Breakout Collection and The Dreams & Nightmares Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2214094 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection · profit 427.30₴ · invest 3 217.16₴
rare inputs

StatTrak™ AUG | Fleet Flock (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ AK-47 | Nightwish: Field-Tested instead of Minimal Wear; StatTrak™ FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement (Field-Tested): float at most 0.170142 instead of 0.168399; StatTrak™ MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077006 instead of 0.076399

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Breakout Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build