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The Breakout Collection + The Horizon Collection

Classified → Covert

Average profit +24.72$

Invest 114.24$

Average return 138.96$

ROI +21.6%

Chance of profit 55%

With float: invest at least 274.89 $, profit at most −135.93 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Desert Eagle | Conspiracy

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0037

26.39 $

at 26.39

Steam

×2

FAMAS | Eye of Athena

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0743

18.02 $

at 9.01

Steam

×7

Sawed-Off | Devourer

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0743

69.83 $

at 9.98

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 114.24 $ +24.72 (+21.6%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Glock-18 | Water Elemental

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0743

22.85 $

at 22.85

Steam

×2

Desert Eagle | Conspiracy

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0038

52.78 $

at 26.39

Steam

×7

FAMAS | Eye of Athena

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0743

63.07 $

at 9.01

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 138.70 $ +14.23 (+10.3%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

Glock-18 | Water Elemental

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0743

45.69 $

at 22.85

Steam

×2

Desert Eagle | Conspiracy

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0038

52.78 $

at 26.39

Steam

×6

FAMAS | Eye of Athena

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0743

54.06 $

at 9.01

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 152.54 $ +7.37 (+4.8%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

Glock-18 | Water Elemental

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0743

68.54 $

at 22.85

Steam

×2

Desert Eagle | Conspiracy

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0038

52.78 $

at 26.39

Steam

×5

FAMAS | Eye of Athena

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0743

45.05 $

at 9.01

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 166.37 $ +0.52 (+0.3%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 55%
Losing outcome 45%

in profit

best

AK-47 | Neon Rider

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

241.07 $ 45.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Desert Eagle | Code Red

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

62.48 $ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

M4A1-S | Cyrex

Factory New

float up to 0.043749

233.21 $ 5.00%

Steam

in profit

P90 | Asiimov

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.080499

230.93 $ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Breakout Collection + The Horizon Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Horizon Collection Variant 4 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 5 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Horizon Collection Variant 6 The Kilowatt Collection instead of The Breakout Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +5.17 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +20.33 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Breakout Collection and The Horizon Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 7 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2229349 · The Horizon Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 27.27$ · invest 97.62$
sells slowly rare inputs

P250 | Visions (Factory New) instead of Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New); FAMAS | Eye of Athena (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074861 instead of 0.074303; Sawed-Off | Devourer (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074861 instead of 0.074303
Craft 2229250 · The Horizon Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 27.26$ · invest 100.93$
sells slowly rare inputs

Nova | Antique (Factory New) instead of Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New)
Craft 2229387 · The Horizon Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 26.85$ · invest 98.80$
sells slowly rare inputs

AWP | Duality (Factory New) instead of Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New); FAMAS | Eye of Athena (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074920 instead of 0.074303; Sawed-Off | Devourer (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074920 instead of 0.074303
Craft 2217845 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 26.16$ · invest 97.98$
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New) instead of Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New); FAMAS | Eye of Athena (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074679 instead of 0.074303; Sawed-Off | Devourer (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074679 instead of 0.074303
Craft 2211708 · The CS20 Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 25.82$ · invest 98.85$
sells slowly rare inputs

AUG | Death by Puppy (Factory New) instead of Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New); FAMAS | Eye of Athena (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074530 instead of 0.074303; Sawed-Off | Devourer (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074530 instead of 0.074303
Craft 2216403 · The Clutch Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 25.72$ · invest 99.11$
sells slowly rare inputs

AUG | Stymphalian (Factory New) instead of Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New); FAMAS | Eye of Athena (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074809 instead of 0.074303; Sawed-Off | Devourer (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074809 instead of 0.074303
Craft 2229555 · The Horizon Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 25.30$ · invest 107.40$
sells slowly rare inputs

AWP | Fever Dream (Factory New) instead of Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New); FAMAS | Eye of Athena (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074735 instead of 0.074303; Sawed-Off | Devourer (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074735 instead of 0.074303

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Breakout Collection + The Horizon Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

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How to build