to all crafts

The Breakout Collection + The Horizon Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert

Average profit +40.99$

Invest 99.30$

Average return 140.29$

ROI +41.3%

Chance of profit 55%

With float: invest at least 240.42 $, profit at most −100.12 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1620

20.68 $

at 20.68

Steam

×8

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1620

60.31 $

at 7.54

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

18.32 $

at 18.32

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 99.30 $ +40.99 (+41.3%)

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1673

41.35 $

at 20.68

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0760

25.40 $

at 25.40

Steam

×7

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1673

52.77 $

at 7.54

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 119.52 $ +29.04 (+24.3%)

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1636

20.68 $

at 20.68

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

25.40 $

at 25.40

Steam

×8

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1636

60.31 $

at 7.54

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 106.39 $ +38.04 (+35.8%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 55%
Losing outcome 45%

in profit

best

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Neon Rider

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

238.95 $ 45.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Code Red

Field-Tested

float up to 0.187499

74.21 $ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Cyrex

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.093749

212.75 $ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ P90 | Asiimov

Field-Tested

float up to 0.172499

195.50 $ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Breakout Collection + The Horizon Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Horizon Collection Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Horizon Collection Variant 5 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 6 The Revolver Case Collection instead of The Breakout Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +23.57 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +35.61 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Breakout Collection and The Horizon Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 4 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2218953 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 43.27$ · invest 85.96$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Field-Tested)
Craft 2229527 · The Horizon Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 43.07$ · invest 90.64$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | High Roller (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Field-Tested)
Craft 2229281 · The Horizon Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection · profit 42.41$ · invest 85.45$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Justice (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Field-Tested)
Craft 2221528 · The Falchion Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 41.57$ · invest 88.87$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Cyrex (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Field-Tested)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Breakout Collection + The Horizon Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

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How to build