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The Danger Zone Collection + The Recoil Collection

Classified → Covert

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +95.02$

Invest 93.16$

Average return 188.18$

ROI +102.0%

Chance of profit 50%

With float: invest at least 236.08 $, profit at most −47.90 $

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −61 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

UMP-45 | Momentum

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0757

6.20 $

at 6.20

Steam

×8

UMP-45 | Momentum

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0050

81.05 $

at 10.13

Steam

×1

Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0757

5.91 $

at 5.91

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 93.16 $ +95.02 (+102.0%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −12 $

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

UMP-45 | Momentum

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0069

10.13 $

at 10.13

Steam

×3

Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0779

17.73 $

at 5.91

Steam

×6

P250 | Visions

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0069

58.65 $

at 9.77

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 86.51 $ +5.09 (+5.9%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −18 $

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

UMP-45 | Momentum

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0067

20.26 $

at 10.13

Steam

×3

Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0776

17.73 $

at 5.91

Steam

×5

P250 | Visions

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0067

48.87 $

at 9.77

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 86.87 $ +16.81 (+19.4%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −24 $

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

UMP-45 | Momentum

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0064

30.39 $

at 10.13

Steam

×3

Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0773

17.73 $

at 5.91

Steam

×4

P250 | Visions

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0064

39.10 $

at 9.77

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 87.23 $ +28.52 (+32.7%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −29 $

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

UMP-45 | Momentum

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0062

40.53 $

at 10.13

Steam

×3

Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0771

17.73 $

at 5.91

Steam

×3

P250 | Visions

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0062

29.32 $

at 9.77

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 87.58 $ +40.24 (+45.9%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 45%
Losing outcome 50%
About break-even 5%

in profit

best

AK-47 | Asiimov

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

399.02 $ 45.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

AWP | Neo-Noir

Factory New

float up to 0.015384

61.56 $ 45.00%

Steam

at a loss

AWP | Chromatic Aberration

Factory New

float up to 0.021538

75.35 $ 5.00%

Steam

about break-even

USP-S | Printstream

Factory New

float up to 0.026153

107.58 $ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Danger Zone Collection + The Recoil Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 4 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection Variant 5 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 6 The Falchion Collection instead of The Recoil Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +58.04 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +90.65 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Danger Zone Collection and The Recoil Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 7 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2213004 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Danger Zone Collection · profit 100.70$ · invest 100.94$
profit on prices without salesat least −55 $ rare inputs

Five-SeveN | Monkey Business (Field-Tested) instead of Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Minimal Wear); UMP-45 | Momentum (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075368 instead of 0.075746; UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New): float at most 0.004697 instead of 0.005028
Craft 2217673 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit 99.85$ · invest 101.27$
profit on prices without salesat least −77 $ rare inputs

MP9 | Airlock (Minimal Wear) instead of Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2217568 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Fever Collection · profit 98.60$ · invest 93.75$
profit on prices without salesat least −58 $ rare inputs

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear) instead of Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2218076 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection · profit 98.50$ · invest 95.01$
profit on prices without salesat least −63 $ rare inputs

MAG-7 | Justice (Minimal Wear) instead of Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2218198 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 96.12$ · invest 92.77$
profit on prices without salesat least −60 $ rare inputs

AWP | Duality (Minimal Wear) instead of Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Minimal Wear); UMP-45 | Momentum (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074648 instead of 0.075746; UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New): float at most 0.004067 instead of 0.005028
Craft 2217467 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection · profit 96.12$ · invest 95.07$
profit on prices without salesat least −60 $ rare inputs

MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Minimal Wear) instead of Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2218352 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 95.70$ · invest 93.94$
profit on prices without salesat least −65 $ rare inputs

XM1014 | XOXO (Minimal Wear) instead of Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Minimal Wear); UMP-45 | Momentum (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075254 instead of 0.075746; UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New): float at most 0.004597 instead of 0.005028

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Danger Zone Collection + The Recoil Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build