to all crafts

The Danger Zone Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection

Restricted → Classified

Average profit +3.35$

Invest 10.00$

Average return 13.35$

ROI +33.5%

Chance of profit 40%

With float: invest at least 25.68 $, profit at most −12.33 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×9

G3SG1 | Scavenger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

8.69 $

at 0.97

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Exposure

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

1.31 $

at 1.31

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 10.00 $ +3.35 (+33.5%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 37%
Losing outcome 60%
About break-even 3%

in profit

best

Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

29.45 $ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

MP5-SD | Phosphor

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.093333

7.29 $ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

UMP-45 | Momentum

Factory New

float up to 0.058333

10.13 $ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

PP-Bizon | High Roller

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.116666

14.13 $ 3.33%

Steam

about break-even

M4A1-S | Leaded Glass

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.081666

11.50 $ 3.33%

Steam

in profit

R8 Revolver | Llama Cannon

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.108166

13.01 $ 3.33%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Danger Zone Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection

Variant 2 The Operation Broken Fang Collection instead of The Spectrum 2 Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection Variant 4 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Spectrum 2 Collection Variant 5 The Glove Collection instead of The Spectrum 2 Collection Variant 6 The Dead Hand Collection instead of The Spectrum 2 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +1.33 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +2.77 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Danger Zone Collection and The Spectrum 2 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 6 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2217704 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Gamma Collection · profit 3.37$ · invest 10.44$
rare inputs

P90 | Chopper (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Exposure (Minimal Wear); G3SG1 | Scavenger (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075206 instead of 0.074479
Craft 2218425 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Sport & Field Collection · profit 3.30$ · invest 11.61$
rare inputs

UMP-45 | Crimson Foil (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Exposure (Minimal Wear); G3SG1 | Scavenger (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076169 instead of 0.074479
Craft 2208739 · The Boreal Collection + The Danger Zone Collection · profit 3.24$ · invest 10.34$
rare inputs

Glock-18 | Glockingbird (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Exposure (Minimal Wear); G3SG1 | Scavenger (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076060 instead of 0.074479
Craft 2218270 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 3.22$ · invest 10.76$
rare inputs

MP7 | Special Delivery (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Exposure (Minimal Wear); G3SG1 | Scavenger (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075468 instead of 0.074479
Craft 2217705 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Gamma Collection · profit 3.19$ · invest 10.99$
rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Limelight (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Exposure (Minimal Wear); G3SG1 | Scavenger (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074841 instead of 0.074479
Craft 2218579 · The Danger Zone Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 3.17$ · invest 11.49$
rare inputs

P90 | Virus (Field-Tested) instead of UMP-45 | Exposure (Minimal Wear); G3SG1 | Scavenger (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074275 instead of 0.074479

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Danger Zone Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

More

How to build