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The Dead Hand Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

Classified → Covert

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +35.06$

Invest 61.97$

Average return 97.03$

ROI +56.6%

Chance of profit 100%

With float: invest at least 154.57 $, profit at most −57.54 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×8

P90 | Deathgaze

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1683

46.34 $

at 5.79

Steam

×2

MP7 | Abyssal Apparition

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0763

15.64 $

at 7.82

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 61.97 $ +35.06 (+56.6%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 100%
Losing outcome 0%

in profit

best

AWP | Queen's Gambit

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

125.00 $ 40.00%

Steam

in profit

Glock-18 | Fully Tuned

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

111.94 $ 40.00%

Steam

in profit

worst

AK-47 | Nightwish

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

81.81 $ 10.00%

Steam

in profit

MP9 | Starlight Protector

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.119999

86.25 $ 10.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dead Hand Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 4 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 5 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 6 The Falchion Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +25.16 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +32.02 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dead Hand Collection and The Dreams & Nightmares Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 5 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2213033 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 35.22$ · invest 73.72$
Five-SeveN | Monkey Business (Field-Tested) instead of MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Minimal Wear); P90 | Deathgaze (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166666 instead of 0.168399
Craft 2214042 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 34.90$ · invest 74.33$
P250 | Asiimov (Field-Tested) instead of MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Minimal Wear); P90 | Deathgaze (Field-Tested): float at most 0.168478 instead of 0.168399
Craft 2219299 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 34.70$ · invest 57.39$
AWP | Duality (Minimal Wear) instead of MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Minimal Wear); P90 | Deathgaze (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164093 instead of 0.168399
Craft 2218691 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Fever Collection · profit 34.51$ · invest 59.34$
UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear) instead of MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2214043 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 30.66$ · invest 82.54$
P250 | Asiimov (Field-Tested) instead of MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Minimal Wear); P90 | Deathgaze (Field-Tested): 7 pcs instead of 8; P90 | Deathgaze (Field-Tested): float at most 0.167741 instead of 0.168399

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dead Hand Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

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How to build