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The Dead Hand Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

Classified → Covert

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +1 675.55₸

Invest 19 963.26₸

Average return 21 638.80₸

ROI +8.4%

Chance of profit 100%

With float: invest at least 51 034.13 ₸, profit at most −29 395.32 ₸

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Share of fitting lots unknown: the price is understated

×9

P90 | Deathgaze

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4818

16 837.25 ₸

at 1 870.81

Steam

×1

MP7 | Abyssal Apparition

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1633

3 126.01 ₸

at 3 126.01

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 19 963.26 ₸ +1 675.55 (+8.4%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 55%
Losing outcome 0%
About break-even 45%

about break-even

worst

AWP | Queen's Gambit

Well-Worn

float up to 0.449999

23 518.64 ₸ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

Glock-18 | Fully Tuned

Well-Worn

float up to 0.449999

25 050.08 ₸ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

AK-47 | Nightwish

Well-Worn

float up to 0.449999

28 180.69 ₸ 5.00%

Steam

in profit

best

MP9 | Starlight Protector

Field-Tested

float up to 0.359999

32 393.53 ₸ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dead Hand Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 4 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 5 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 6 The Falchion Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −1 090.04 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +820.70 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dead Hand Collection and The Dreams & Nightmares Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 5 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2218770 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Gallery Collection · profit 1 693.16₸ · invest 19 057.36₸
UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) instead of MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Field-Tested)
Craft 2219180 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection · profit 1 649.09₸ · invest 19 613.58₸
MAC-10 | Disco Tech (Field-Tested) instead of MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Field-Tested)
Craft 2217436 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 1 643.02₸ · invest 19 242.57₸
MP5-SD | Phosphor (Field-Tested) instead of MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Field-Tested); P90 | Deathgaze (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.477565 instead of 0.481853
Craft 2218693 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Fever Collection · profit 1 636.59₸ · invest 19 243.16₸
UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Field-Tested) instead of MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Field-Tested)
Craft 2219011 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Kilowatt Collection · profit 1 597.98₸ · invest 18 734.19₸
USP-S | Jawbreaker (Field-Tested) instead of MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Field-Tested)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dead Hand Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

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How to build