to all crafts

The Dead Hand Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

Classified → Covert

Average profit +3.68$

Invest 58.87$

Average return 62.55$

ROI +6.2%

Chance of profit 90%

With float: invest at least 152.90 $, profit at most −90.35 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

20% of lots fit: the price is understated

×1

P90 | Deathgaze

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.5624

4.12 $

at 4.12

Steam

×9

FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.5624

54.75 $

at 6.08

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 58.87 $ +3.68 (+6.2%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 45%
Losing outcome 10%
About break-even 45%

about break-even

AK-47 | Nightwish

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.562499

69.99 $ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

best

MP9 | Starlight Protector

Well-Worn

float up to 0.449999

80.02 $ 45.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

AWP | Queen's Gambit

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.562499

42.98 $ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

Glock-18 | Fully Tuned

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.562499

45.71 $ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dead Hand Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 4 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 5 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 6 The Falchion Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −2.89 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +1.40 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dead Hand Collection and The Dreams & Nightmares Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 11 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2219839 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Gallery Collection · profit 3.64$ · invest 58.81$
rare inputs

UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Battle-Scarred) instead of P90 | Deathgaze (Battle-Scarred)
Craft 2220423 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 3.60$ · invest 58.20$
Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Battle-Scarred) instead of P90 | Deathgaze (Battle-Scarred); FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.542857 instead of 0.562499
Craft 2220620 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 3.57$ · invest 58.17$
MP9 | Food Chain (Battle-Scarred) instead of P90 | Deathgaze (Battle-Scarred); FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.481012 instead of 0.562499
Craft 2220424 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 3.56$ · invest 58.20$
Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Battle-Scarred) instead of P90 | Deathgaze (Battle-Scarred)
Craft 2220621 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 3.51$ · invest 58.17$
MP9 | Food Chain (Battle-Scarred) instead of P90 | Deathgaze (Battle-Scarred)
Craft 2220467 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 3.50$ · invest 57.97$
AWP | Duality (Battle-Scarred) instead of P90 | Deathgaze (Battle-Scarred); FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.553364 instead of 0.562499
Craft 2211380 · The CS20 Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection · profit 3.48$ · invest 59.01$
rare inputs

AUG | Death by Puppy (Field-Tested) instead of P90 | Deathgaze (Battle-Scarred); FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.543307 instead of 0.562499
Craft 2220320 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection · profit 3.45$ · invest 60.71$
MAC-10 | Disco Tech (Well-Worn) instead of P90 | Deathgaze (Battle-Scarred); FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.551579 instead of 0.562499
Craft 2219750 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Fever Collection · profit 3.35$ · invest 59.24$
UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Well-Worn) instead of P90 | Deathgaze (Battle-Scarred); FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.580926 instead of 0.562499
Craft 2220136 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Kilowatt Collection · profit 3.34$ · invest 58.17$
USP-S | Jawbreaker (Battle-Scarred) instead of P90 | Deathgaze (Battle-Scarred)
Craft 2220321 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection · profit 3.33$ · invest 60.71$
MAC-10 | Disco Tech (Well-Worn) instead of P90 | Deathgaze (Battle-Scarred); FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.580926 instead of 0.562499

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dead Hand Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build