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The Dead Hand Collection + The Fracture Collection

Restricted → Classified

Average profit +4.64$

Invest 10.02$

Average return 14.66$

ROI +46.4%

Chance of profit 30%

With float: invest at least 24.84 $, profit at most −10.18 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×8

MP9 | Urban Sovereign

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1662

7.45 $

at 0.93

Steam

×1

MP9 | Urban Sovereign

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0756

1.76 $

at 1.76

Steam

×1

Galil AR | Connexion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0756

0.80 $

at 0.80

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 10.02 $ +4.64 (+46.4%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 30%
Losing outcome 10%
About break-even 60%

in profit

best

AK-47 | Crane Flight

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

31.99 $ 30.00%

Steam

about break-even

P250 | Kintsugi

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

11.20 $ 30.00%

Steam

about break-even

P90 | Deathgaze

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

11.05 $ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

Glock-18 | Vogue

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.112499

7.13 $ 3.33%

Steam

at a loss

M4A4 | Tooth Fairy

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.109499

6.39 $ 3.33%

Steam

at a loss

worst

XM1014 | Entombed

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.074999

4.09 $ 3.33%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dead Hand Collection + The Fracture Collection

Variant 2 The Operation Broken Fang Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Fracture Collection Variant 4 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 5 The Glove Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 6 The Glove Collection instead of The Fracture Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +3.20 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +4.11 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dead Hand Collection and The Fracture Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 12 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2218821 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Gamma Collection · profit 4.76$ · invest 10.96$
rare inputs

P90 | Chopper (Minimal Wear) instead of Galil AR | Connexion (Minimal Wear); MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162694 instead of 0.166225; MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074415 instead of 0.075643
Craft 2218852 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Genesis Collection · profit 4.73$ · invest 10.61$
UMP-45 | Continuum (Minimal Wear) instead of Galil AR | Connexion (Minimal Wear); MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Field-Tested): float at most 0.168399 instead of 0.166225; MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076399 instead of 0.075643
Craft 2219452 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 4.70$ · invest 10.57$
rare inputs

SG 553 | Phantom (Minimal Wear) instead of Galil AR | Connexion (Minimal Wear); MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162694 instead of 0.166225; MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074415 instead of 0.075643
Craft 2208751 · The Boreal Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 4.63$ · invest 10.87$
Glock-18 | Glockingbird (Minimal Wear) instead of Galil AR | Connexion (Minimal Wear); MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164156 instead of 0.166225; MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074923 instead of 0.075643
Craft 2218790 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit 4.63$ · invest 10.75$
Desert Eagle | Directive (Field-Tested) instead of Galil AR | Connexion (Minimal Wear); MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164264 instead of 0.166225; MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074961 instead of 0.075643
Craft 2219418 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 4.62$ · invest 10.11$
Negev | dev_texture (Minimal Wear) instead of Galil AR | Connexion (Minimal Wear); MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163768 instead of 0.166225; MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074789 instead of 0.075643
Craft 2219366 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 4.62$ · invest 11.28$
rare inputs

MP7 | Special Delivery (Minimal Wear) instead of Galil AR | Connexion (Minimal Wear); MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163143 instead of 0.166225; MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074571 instead of 0.075643
Craft 2217413 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 4.61$ · invest 10.18$
rare inputs

G3SG1 | Scavenger (Minimal Wear) instead of Galil AR | Connexion (Minimal Wear); MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163768 instead of 0.166225; MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074789 instead of 0.075643
Craft 2213021 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 4.61$ · invest 10.78$
UMP-45 | Grand Prix (Field-Tested) instead of Galil AR | Connexion (Minimal Wear); MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Field-Tested): float at most 0.168116 instead of 0.166225; MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076301 instead of 0.075643
Craft 2203394 · The Achroma Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 4.42$ · invest 11.34$
Glock-18 | Trace Lock (Minimal Wear) instead of Galil AR | Connexion (Minimal Wear); MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164697 instead of 0.166225; MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075112 instead of 0.075643
Craft 2218757 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Gallery Collection · profit 4.37$ · invest 10.74$
rare inputs

P90 | Randy Rush (Minimal Wear) instead of Galil AR | Connexion (Minimal Wear); MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165509 instead of 0.166225; MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075394 instead of 0.075643
Craft 2219167 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection · profit 4.35$ · invest 10.52$
Sawed-Off | Apocalypto (Minimal Wear) instead of Galil AR | Connexion (Minimal Wear); MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Field-Tested): float at most 0.168399 instead of 0.166225; MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076399 instead of 0.075643

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dead Hand Collection + The Fracture Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

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How to build