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The Dead Hand Collection + The Horizon Collection

Classified → Covert

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +9 018.59₸

Invest 46 932.07₸

Average return 55 950.66₸

ROI +19.2%

Chance of profit 50%

With float: invest at least 115 256.17 ₸, profit at most −59 305.51 ₸

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

P90 | Deathgaze

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

15 243.53 ₸

at 5 081.18

Steam

×7

Sawed-Off | Devourer

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

31 688.54 ₸

at 4 526.93

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 46 932.07 ₸ +9 018.59 (+19.2%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 50%
Losing outcome 50%

in profit

best

AK-47 | Neon Rider

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

109 399.25 ₸ 35.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Desert Eagle | Code Red

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

28 355.51 ₸ 35.00%

Steam

in profit

AWP | Queen's Gambit

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

56 728.12 ₸ 15.00%

Steam

at a loss

Glock-18 | Fully Tuned

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

50 799.20 ₸ 15.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dead Hand Collection + The Horizon Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Horizon Collection Variant 4 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 5 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Horizon Collection Variant 6 The Kilowatt Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +1 606.71 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +7 277.94 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dead Hand Collection and The Horizon Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2220067 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 11 540.00₸ · invest 42 331.64₸
sells slowly rare inputs

MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Minimal Wear) instead of P90 | Deathgaze (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2229524 · The Horizon Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 10 543.32₸ · invest 48 020.40₸
sells slowly rare inputs

R8 Revolver | Llama Cannon (Minimal Wear) instead of P90 | Deathgaze (Minimal Wear); Sawed-Off | Devourer (Minimal Wear): 8 pcs instead of 7; Sawed-Off | Devourer (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074281 instead of 0.074468
Craft 2222475 · The Fever Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 9 167.97₸ · invest 40 537.91₸
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear) instead of P90 | Deathgaze (Minimal Wear)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dead Hand Collection + The Horizon Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build