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The Dead Hand Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection

Restricted → Classified

Average profit +12.38$

Invest 22.21$

Average return 34.58$

ROI +55.7%

Chance of profit 40%

With float: invest at least 54.03 $, profit at most −19.45 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×8

MP9 | Urban Sovereign

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

14.10 $

at 1.76

Steam

×1

MP9 | Urban Sovereign

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

4.20 $

at 4.20

Steam

×1

XM1014 | Monster Melt

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

3.91 $

at 3.91

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 22.21 $ +12.38 (+55.7%)

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

MP9 | Urban Sovereign

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0757

1.76 $

at 1.76

Steam

×1

MP9 | Urban Sovereign

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0050

4.20 $

at 4.20

Steam

×6

XM1014 | Monster Melt

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0757

23.45 $

at 3.91

Steam

×2

XM1014 | Monster Melt

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0050

14.57 $

at 7.29

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 43.98 $ +8.74 (+19.9%)

What you get 5 outcomes

Profitable outcome 40%
Losing outcome 60%

in profit

AK-47 | Crane Flight

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

65.14 $ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

P250 | Kintsugi

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

21.67 $ 30.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

P90 | Deathgaze

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

23.56 $ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

best

AWP | Crakow!

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

90.10 $ 5.00%

Steam

in profit

Zeus x27 | Dragon Snore

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

43.08 $ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dead Hand Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Overpass 2024 Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 4 The Glove Collection instead of The Overpass 2024 Collection Variant 5 The Falchion Collection instead of The Overpass 2024 Collection Variant 6 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Overpass 2024 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +7.27 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +10.97 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dead Hand Collection and The Overpass 2024 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2219316 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Revolver Case Collection · profit 11.26$ · invest 20.67$
sells slowly rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Fuel Rod (Minimal Wear) instead of XM1014 | Monster Melt (Minimal Wear); MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077088 instead of 0.074571; MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Factory New): float at most 0.006202 instead of 0.003999

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dead Hand Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 5 outcomes

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How to build