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The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Falchion Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +9.90$

Invest 65.52$

Average return 75.42$

ROI +15.1%

Chance of profit 95%

With float: invest at least 167.88 $, profit at most −92.47 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Share of fitting lots unknown: the price is understated

×9

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1655

56.10 $

at 6.23

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3847

9.42 $

at 9.42

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 65.52 $ +9.90 (+15.1%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −3 $

Share of fitting lots unknown: the price is understated

×8

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1655

49.86 $

at 6.23

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3847

9.42 $

at 9.42

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Cyrex

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1655

10.25 $

at 10.25

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 69.53 $ +6.28 (+9.0%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −12 $

Share of fitting lots unknown: the price is understated

×7

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1655

43.63 $

at 6.23

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3847

9.42 $

at 9.42

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Cyrex

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1655

20.49 $

at 10.25

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 73.55 $ +2.66 (+3.6%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 50%
Losing outcome 5%
About break-even 45%

about break-even

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Nightwish

Field-Tested

float up to 0.187499

77.77 $ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MP9 | Starlight Protector

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

94.78 $ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge

Field-Tested

float up to 0.187499

111.97 $ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast

Field-Tested

float up to 0.187499

69.65 $ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Falchion Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 5 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 6 The Horizon Collection instead of The Falchion Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +1.44 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +8.64 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dreams & Nightmares Collection and The Falchion Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 4 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2210445 · The Breakout Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection · profit 10.63$ · invest 76.77$
profit on prices without salesat least −9 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Well-Worn); StatTrak™ FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163043 instead of 0.165584
Craft 2220711 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 10.51$ · invest 77.89$
rare inputs

StatTrak™ AWP | Fever Dream (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Well-Worn); StatTrak™ FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement (Field-Tested): float at most 0.173319 instead of 0.165584
Craft 2213065 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection · profit 10.24$ · invest 69.05$
rare inputs

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Monkey Business (Well-Worn) instead of StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Well-Worn); StatTrak™ FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement (Field-Tested): float at most 0.168655 instead of 0.165584
Craft 2220599 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Shattered Web Collection · profit 10.00$ · invest 70.32$
profit on prices without salesat least −3 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Colony IV (Well-Worn) instead of StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Well-Worn)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Falchion Collection

How to build i Ways to build 3 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

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How to build