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The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Fracture Collection

Classified → Covert

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +9.48$

Invest 75.50$

Average return 84.99$

ROI +12.6%

Chance of profit 45%

With float: invest at least 196.16 $, profit at most −111.17 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×9

MP7 | Abyssal Apparition

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0795

70.36 $

at 7.82

Steam

×1

XM1014 | Entombed

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0795

5.15 $

at 5.15

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 75.50 $ +9.48 (+12.6%)

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

MP7 | Abyssal Apparition

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1677

6.89 $

at 6.89

Steam

×5

MP7 | Abyssal Apparition

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0761

39.09 $

at 7.82

Steam

×2

XM1014 | Entombed

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0761

10.29 $

at 5.15

Steam

×2

XM1014 | Entombed

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0054

15.41 $

at 7.71

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 71.68 $ +5.03 (+7.0%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 45%
Losing outcome 55%

at a loss

AK-47 | Nightwish

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

81.81 $ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

best

MP9 | Starlight Protector

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

120.01 $ 45.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

AK-47 | Legion of Anubis

Factory New

float up to 0.061249

58.98 $ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

Desert Eagle | Printstream

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

79.38 $ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Fracture Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Fracture Collection Variant 4 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 5 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Fracture Collection Variant 6 The Falchion Collection instead of The Fracture Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −1.98 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +6.76 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dreams & Nightmares Collection and The Fracture Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 10 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2220827 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 9.36$ · invest 83.58$
outcome without sales rare inputs

AWP | Elite Build (Field-Tested) instead of XM1014 | Entombed (Minimal Wear); MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077999 instead of 0.079545
Craft 2220757 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 9.24$ · invest 81.87$
MP9 | Latte Rush (Field-Tested) instead of XM1014 | Entombed (Minimal Wear); MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077999 instead of 0.079545
Craft 2220593 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Shattered Web Collection · profit 9.21$ · invest 78.67$
rare inputs

SG 553 | Colony IV (Field-Tested) instead of XM1014 | Entombed (Minimal Wear); MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077999 instead of 0.079545
Craft 2220561 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 9.15$ · invest 78.80$
rare inputs

G3SG1 | Flux (Field-Tested) instead of XM1014 | Entombed (Minimal Wear); MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076423 instead of 0.079545
Craft 2219714 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 9.08$ · invest 75.30$
rare inputs

SG 553 | Cyrex (Field-Tested) instead of XM1014 | Entombed (Minimal Wear); MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077999 instead of 0.079545
Craft 2206131 · The Arabesque Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection · profit 9.07$ · invest 90.48$
profit on prices without salesat least −12 $

Desert Eagle | Eastern Enigma (Field-Tested) instead of XM1014 | Entombed (Minimal Wear); MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077999 instead of 0.079545
Craft 2219749 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Fever Collection · profit 9.03$ · invest 75.66$
UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Field-Tested) instead of XM1014 | Entombed (Minimal Wear); MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077999 instead of 0.079545
Craft 2220319 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection · profit 8.85$ · invest 76.48$
MAC-10 | Disco Tech (Field-Tested) instead of XM1014 | Entombed (Minimal Wear); MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077999 instead of 0.079545
Craft 2217469 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection · profit 8.67$ · invest 75.66$
MP5-SD | Phosphor (Field-Tested) instead of XM1014 | Entombed (Minimal Wear); MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074565 instead of 0.079545
Craft 2211377 · The CS20 Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection · profit 8.66$ · invest 76.20$
rare inputs

P90 | Nostalgia (Minimal Wear) instead of XM1014 | Entombed (Minimal Wear); MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.081362 instead of 0.079545

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Fracture Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

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How to build