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The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Gamma Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +2 890.83₸

Invest 30 063.93₸

Average return 32 954.76₸

ROI +9.6%

Chance of profit 100%

With float: invest at least 71 500.09 ₸, profit at most −38 545.33 ₸

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −2 366 ₸

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Share of fitting lots unknown: the price is understated

×6

StatTrak™ MP7 | Abyssal Apparition

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.5020

16 324.16 ₸

at 2 720.69

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1717

8 485.52 ₸

at 2 828.51

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ P2000 | Imperial Dragon

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1717

5 254.25 ₸

at 5 254.25

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 30 063.93 ₸ +2 890.83 (+9.6%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 10%
Losing outcome 0%
About break-even 90%

about break-even

worst

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Nightwish

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

35 294.88 ₸ 45.00%

Steam

about break-even

StatTrak™ MP9 | Starlight Protector

Field-Tested

float up to 0.303999

35 487.73 ₸ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Wasteland Rebel

Field-Tested

float up to 0.205199

57 406.58 ₸ 5.00%

price without deals price cut

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Mecha Industries

Field-Tested

float up to 0.303999

63 509.27 ₸ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Gamma Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Gamma Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Gamma Collection Variant 5 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 6 The Horizon Collection instead of The Gamma Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −206.43 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +2 412.06 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dreams & Nightmares Collection and The Gamma Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2220670 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 3 035.27₸ · invest 29 809.23₸
rare inputs

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Llama Cannon (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ P2000 | Imperial Dragon (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.509768 instead of 0.502019; StatTrak™ FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement (Field-Tested): float at most 0.174993 instead of 0.171753
Craft 2219800 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Fracture Collection · profit 2 920.61₸ · invest 27 066.68₸
rare inputs

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Entombed (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ P2000 | Imperial Dragon (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.493258 instead of 0.502019; StatTrak™ FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement (Field-Tested): float at most 0.168089 instead of 0.171753
Craft 2220475 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 2 887.54₸ · invest 26 265.70₸
rare inputs

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Wild Child (Well-Worn) instead of StatTrak™ P2000 | Imperial Dragon (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.486576 instead of 0.502019; StatTrak™ FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165295 instead of 0.171753

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Gamma Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build