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The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Harlequin Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +2.71$

Invest 4.37$

Average return 7.08$

ROI +62.1%

Chance of profit 90%

With float: invest at least 11.37 $, profit at most −4.28 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0060

0.26 $

at 0.26

Steam

×9

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0769

4.10 $

at 0.46

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 4.37 $ +2.71 (+62.1%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0043

1.32 $

at 0.26

Steam

×3

Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1643

0.67 $

at 0.22

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

0.91 $

at 0.46

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 2.90 $ +1.54 (+52.9%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

MAC-10 | Ensnared

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

0.15 $

at 0.15

Steam

×3

SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0041

0.79 $

at 0.26

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1637

0.46 $

at 0.23

Steam

×4

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

1.82 $

at 0.46

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 3.23 $ +1.87 (+58.0%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

1.59 $

at 0.26

Steam

×2

Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1628

0.45 $

at 0.22

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1628

0.46 $

at 0.23

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 2.49 $ +1.29 (+51.8%)

What you get 7 outcomes

Profitable outcome 90%
Losing outcome 10%

in profit

best

AWP | Exothermic

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

9.18 $ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

USP-S | Sleeping Potion

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

8.63 $ 45.00%

Steam

at a loss

PP-Bizon | Space Cat

Factory New

float up to 0.066999

1.39 $ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

G3SG1 | Dream Glade

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.099999

1.01 $ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

M4A1-S | Night Terror

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1.97 $ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

USP-S | Ticket to Hell

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.075999

1.05 $ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

XM1014 | Zombie Offensive

Factory New

float up to 0.049999

1.11 $ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Harlequin Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 4 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 5 The Glove Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 6 The Prisma Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +1.90 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +2.32 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dreams & Nightmares Collection and The Harlequin Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 12 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2198417 · The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 2.93$ · invest 4.88$
pricier variants exist

Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074202 instead of 0.076948
Craft 2213310 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 2.79$ · invest 4.48$
Negev | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) instead of SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075233 instead of 0.076948
Craft 2228765 · The Harlequin Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 2.73$ · invest 4.82$
M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076845 instead of 0.076948
Craft 2208905 · The Boreal Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 2.72$ · invest 4.48$
XM1014 | Copperflage (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076985 instead of 0.076948
Craft 2228720 · The Harlequin Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 2.72$ · invest 4.71$
rare inputs

UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear) instead of SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074999 instead of 0.076948
Craft 2217806 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 2.72$ · invest 4.45$
Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested) instead of SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075454 instead of 0.076948
Craft 2226075 · The Gamma Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 2.71$ · invest 4.59$
SG 553 | Aerial (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076985 instead of 0.076948
Craft 2228873 · The Harlequin Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 2.70$ · invest 4.52$
SCAR-20 | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074944 instead of 0.076948
Craft 2228874 · The Harlequin Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 2.68$ · invest 4.52$
SCAR-20 | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076845 instead of 0.076948
Craft 2228610 · The Harlequin Collection + The Kilowatt Collection · profit 2.67$ · invest 4.39$
Dual Berettas | Hideout (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077087 instead of 0.076948
Craft 2203567 · The Achroma Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 2.66$ · invest 4.81$
P90 | Aeolian Light (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077040 instead of 0.076948
Craft 2228885 · The Harlequin Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 2.64$ · invest 4.65$
rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076845 instead of 0.076948

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Harlequin Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 7 outcomes

More

How to build