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The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Horizon Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +5.08$

Invest 61.26$

Average return 66.34$

ROI +8.3%

Chance of profit 95%

With float: invest at least 152.95 $, profit at most −86.61 $

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −2 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Share of fitting lots unknown: the price is understated

×8

StatTrak™ MP7 | Abyssal Apparition

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4974

47.96 $

at 6.00

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1698

6.23 $

at 6.23

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4802

7.07 $

at 7.07

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 61.26 $ +5.08 (+8.3%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 50%
Losing outcome 5%
About break-even 45%

about break-even

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Nightwish

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.474999

73.02 $ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MP9 | Starlight Protector

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

78.20 $ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Neon Rider

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

104.15 $ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Code Red

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.474999

60.62 $ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Horizon Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Horizon Collection Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Horizon Collection Variant 5 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 6 The Revolver Case Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −4.04 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +3.35 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dreams & Nightmares Collection and The Horizon Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 7 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2218631 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection · profit 5.32$ · invest 59.21$
rare inputs

StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer (Battle-Scarred); StatTrak™ AK-47 | Nightwish: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; StatTrak™ MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.481853 instead of 0.497483; StatTrak™ FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163320 instead of 0.169856
Craft 2220379 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 5.31$ · invest 60.29$
rare inputs

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Well-Worn) instead of StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer (Battle-Scarred); StatTrak™ AK-47 | Nightwish: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; StatTrak™ MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.482235 instead of 0.497483; StatTrak™ FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163480 instead of 0.169856
Craft 2220476 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 5.16$ · invest 57.40$
rare inputs

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Wild Child (Well-Worn) instead of StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer (Battle-Scarred); StatTrak™ AK-47 | Nightwish: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; StatTrak™ MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.493297 instead of 0.497483; StatTrak™ FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement (Field-Tested): float at most 0.168106 instead of 0.169856
Craft 2220152 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Kilowatt Collection · profit 5.15$ · invest 59.06$
rare inputs

StatTrak™ Zeus x27 | Olympus (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer (Battle-Scarred); StatTrak™ MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.486422 instead of 0.497483; StatTrak™ FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165231 instead of 0.169856
Craft 2220153 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Kilowatt Collection · profit 5.15$ · invest 59.06$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ Zeus x27 | Olympus (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer (Battle-Scarred); StatTrak™ MP9 | Starlight Protector: Well-Worn instead of Field-Tested; StatTrak™ MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.488176 instead of 0.497483; StatTrak™ FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165964 instead of 0.169856
Craft 2220335 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection · profit 4.96$ · invest 60.21$
rare inputs

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Disco Tech (Well-Worn) instead of StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer (Battle-Scarred); StatTrak™ AK-47 | Nightwish: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; StatTrak™ MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.493297 instead of 0.497483; StatTrak™ FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement (Field-Tested): float at most 0.168106 instead of 0.169856
Craft 2220383 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 4.84$ · invest 60.08$
rare inputs

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer (Battle-Scarred); StatTrak™ MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.492946 instead of 0.497483; StatTrak™ FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement (Field-Tested): float at most 0.167959 instead of 0.169856

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Horizon Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build