to all crafts

The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Shadow Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert

Average profit +2.12$

Invest 70.18$

Average return 72.29$

ROI +3.0%

Chance of profit 10%

With float: invest at least 176.94 $, profit at most −104.65 $

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −11 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Share of fitting lots unknown: the price is understated

×9

StatTrak™ MP7 | Abyssal Apparition

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.5584

53.96 $

at 6.00

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.5387

16.22 $

at 16.22

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 70.18 $ +2.12 (+3.0%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 10%
Losing outcome 45%
About break-even 45%

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Nightwish

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.562499

73.02 $ 45.00%

Steam

about break-even

StatTrak™ MP9 | Starlight Protector

Well-Worn

float up to 0.449999

78.20 $ 45.00%

price cut

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Golden Coil

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.562499

117.02 $ 5.00%

price without deals price cut

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ USP-S | Kill Confirmed

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.562499

184.69 $ 5.00%

price without deals price cut

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Shadow Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 5 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 6 The Horizon Collection instead of The Shadow Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −12.20 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +0.37 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dreams & Nightmares Collection and The Shadow Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 5 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2220340 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection · profit 2.35$ · invest 59.97$
rare inputs

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Disco Tech (Well-Worn) instead of StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Battle-Scarred); StatTrak™ MP9 | Starlight Protector: Battle-Scarred instead of Well-Worn; StatTrak™ MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Battle-Scarred): float at most 1.000000 instead of 0.558486
Craft 2213072 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection · profit 2.24$ · invest 66.32$
profit on prices without salesat least −9 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Monkey Business (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Battle-Scarred); StatTrak™ MP9 | Starlight Protector: Battle-Scarred instead of Well-Worn; StatTrak™ MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.844797 instead of 0.558486
Craft 2213073 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection · profit 2.24$ · invest 66.32$
profit on prices without salesat least −9 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Monkey Business (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Battle-Scarred); StatTrak™ MP9 | Starlight Protector: Battle-Scarred instead of Well-Worn; StatTrak™ MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.999999 instead of 0.558486
Craft 2219726 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 2.17$ · invest 62.89$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Battle-Scarred); StatTrak™ MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.562499 instead of 0.558486
Craft 2220479 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 2.16$ · invest 57.17$
rare inputs

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Wild Child (Well-Worn) instead of StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Battle-Scarred); StatTrak™ MP9 | Starlight Protector: Battle-Scarred instead of Well-Worn; StatTrak™ MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Battle-Scarred): float at most 1.000000 instead of 0.558486

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Shadow Collection

How to build i Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build