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The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +1 103.43₽

Invest 4 338.89₽

Average return 5 442.32₽

ROI +25.4%

Chance of profit 70%

With float: invest at least 11 044.64 ₽, profit at most −5 602.32 ₽

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −4 295 ₽

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

≈1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0037

67.35 ₽

at 22.45

Steam

×7

MAG-7 | Memento

Factory New

buy 0.0200–0.0226

4 271.54 ₽

at 610.22

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 4 338.89 ₽ +1 103.43 (+25.4%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 70%
Losing outcome 30%

in profit

best

Galil AR | Orange DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

11 218.79 ₽ 23.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

P250 | Splash

Factory New

float up to 0.061621

6 336.04 ₽ 23.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

9 050.20 ₽ 23.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

PP-Bizon | Space Cat

Factory New

float up to 0.009053

117.96 ₽ 6.00%

Steam

at a loss

G3SG1 | Dream Glade

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

269.99 ₽ 6.00%

Steam

at a loss

M4A1-S | Night Terror

Factory New

float up to 0.009459

166.83 ₽ 6.00%

Steam

at a loss

USP-S | Ticket to Hell

Factory New

float up to 0.010270

198.04 ₽ 6.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

XM1014 | Zombie Offensive

Factory New

float up to 0.006756

94.22 ₽ 6.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Collection Variant 3 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Collection Variant 4 The Glove Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Collection Variant 5 The Prisma Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Collection Variant 6 The Operation Broken Fang Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +854.70 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +1 114.75 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dreams & Nightmares Collection and The eSports 2013 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 20 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2234452 · The Prisma Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 1 118.40₽ · invest 4 567.10₽
profit on prices without salesat least −4 280 ₽ rare inputs

FAMAS | Crypsis (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New): float at most 0.022629 instead of 0.022643
Craft 2236356 · The Shadow Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 1 117.28₽ · invest 4 525.64₽
profit on prices without salesat least −4 454 ₽ rare inputs

MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New): float at most 0.022591 instead of 0.022643
Craft 2203998 · The Achroma Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 1 110.34₽ · invest 4 450.70₽
profit on prices without salesat least −4 288 ₽ rare inputs

P90 | Aeolian Light (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New): float at most 0.022691 instead of 0.022643
Craft 2234026 · The Prisma 2 Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 1 097.50₽ · invest 4 399.40₽
profit on prices without salesat least −4 301 ₽ rare inputs

R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New): float at most 0.022662 instead of 0.022643
Craft 2215053 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 1 097.37₽ · invest 4 418.00₽
profit on prices without salesat least −4 301 ₽ rare inputs

M249 | Spectre (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New): float at most 0.022591 instead of 0.022643
Craft 2236106 · The Safehouse Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 1 086.76₽ · invest 3 901.80₽
profit on prices without salesat least −3 540 ₽ rare inputs

Five-SeveN | Silver Quartz (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New): 6 pcs instead of 7; MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New): float at most 0.022623 instead of 0.022643
Craft 2236928 · The Spectrum 2 Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 1 085.74₽ · invest 4 376.09₽
profit on prices without salesat least −4 312 ₽ rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New): float at most 0.022591 instead of 0.022643
Craft 2232741 · The Operation Riptide Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 1 082.60₽ · invest 5 461.70₽
profit on prices without salesat least −5 170 ₽ rare inputs

G3SG1 | Keeping Tabs (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New): 8 pcs instead of 7; MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New): float at most 0.022502 instead of 0.022643
Craft 2237065 · The Spectrum Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 1 081.24₽ · invest 4 409.24₽
profit on prices without salesat least −4 317 ₽ rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New): float at most 0.022591 instead of 0.022643
Craft 2205935 · The Anubis Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 1 078.63₽ · invest 5 650.70₽
profit on prices without salesat least −5 267 ₽ rare inputs

MAG-7 | Copper Coated (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New): 8 pcs instead of 7; MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New): float at most 0.022559 instead of 0.022643
Craft 2217095 · The Clutch Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 1 075.25₽ · invest 4 375.79₽
profit on prices without salesat least −4 323 ₽ rare inputs

SG 553 | Aloha (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New): float at most 0.022629 instead of 0.022643
Craft 2237297 · The Train 2025 Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 1 042.84₽ · invest 5 309.40₽
profit on prices without salesat least −5 126 ₽ rare inputs

XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New): 8 pcs instead of 7; MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New): float at most 0.022514 instead of 0.022643
Craft 2228071 · The Glove Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 1 016.48₽ · invest 5 321.57₽
profit on prices without salesat least −4 958 ₽ rare inputs

MAG-7 | Sonar (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New): float at most 0.022545 instead of 0.022643
Craft 2232043 · The Operation Broken Fang Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 1 005.16₽ · invest 4 936.43₽
profit on prices without salesat least −4 500 ₽ rare inputs

P90 | Cocoa Rampage (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New): float at most 0.022662 instead of 0.022643
Craft 2230290 · The Italy Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 995.35₽ · invest 4 439.54₽
profit on prices without salesat least −4 403 ₽ rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Full Stop (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New): float at most 0.022662 instead of 0.022643
Craft 2233650 · The Phoenix Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 989.95₽ · invest 3 910.44₽
profit on prices without salesat least −3 728 ₽ rare inputs

MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New): 6 pcs instead of 7; MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New): float at most 0.022623 instead of 0.022643
Craft 2237415 · The Wildfire Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 985.70₽ · invest 4 838.96₽
profit on prices without salesat least −4 412 ₽ rare inputs

MAC-10 | Lapis Gator (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New): float at most 0.022591 instead of 0.022643
Craft 2200293 · The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 975.05₽ · invest 7 240.56₽
profit on prices without salesat least −7 241 ₽ rare inputs pricier variants exist

Souvenir Galil AR | Amber Fade (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New): 6 pcs instead of 7; MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New): float at most 0.022623 instead of 0.022643
Craft 2236570 · The Shattered Web Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 974.32₽ · invest 5 035.97₽
profit on prices without salesat least −4 591 ₽ rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Torn (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New): float at most 0.022545 instead of 0.022643
Craft 2211127 · The Breakout Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 890.17₽ · invest 3 863.56₽
profit on prices without salesat least −3 792 ₽ rare inputs

UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New): 6 pcs instead of 7; MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New): float at most 0.022623 instead of 0.022643

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build