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The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

Classified → Covert

Average profit +2 077.11₽

Invest 8 545.20₽

Average return 10 622.31₽

ROI +24.3%

Chance of profit 60%

With float: invest at least 21 063.49 ₽, profit at most −10 441.18 ₽

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

MP7 | Abyssal Apparition

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

2 654.88 ₽

at 663.72

Steam

×6

Nova | Bloomstick

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1633

5 890.32 ₽

at 981.72

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 8 545.20 ₽ +2 077.11 (+24.3%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 30%
Losing outcome 40%
About break-even 30%

about break-even

AK-47 | Jaguar

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.113636

10 132.01 ₽ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A4 | Bullet Rain

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

21 074.81 ₽ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

AK-47 | Nightwish

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.113636

6 945.50 ₽ 20.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP9 | Starlight Protector

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.090909

7 322.56 ₽ 20.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 3 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 4 The Falchion Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 5 The Fever Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 6 The Gallery Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +422.99 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +1 393.56 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dreams & Nightmares Collection and The eSports 2014 Summer Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 8 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2234499 · The Prisma Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 2 474.33₽ · invest 9 337.78₽
sells slowly rare inputs

R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher (Field-Tested) instead of MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Minimal Wear); Nova | Bloomstick (Field-Tested): 8 pcs instead of 6; Nova | Bloomstick (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162699 instead of 0.163330
Craft 2234500 · The Prisma Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 2 465.52₽ · invest 8 128.56₽
sells slowly rare inputs

XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested) instead of MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Minimal Wear); Nova | Bloomstick (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162026 instead of 0.163330
Craft 2224042 · The Fracture Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 2 408.68₽ · invest 9 162.08₽
sells slowly rare inputs

XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New) instead of MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Minimal Wear); Nova | Bloomstick (Field-Tested): 8 pcs instead of 6; Nova | Bloomstick (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163583 instead of 0.163330
Craft 2235866 · The Revolver Case Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 2 369.93₽ · invest 9 666.00₽
sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

G3SG1 | The Executioner (Field-Tested) instead of MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Minimal Wear); Nova | Bloomstick (Field-Tested): 7 pcs instead of 6; Nova | Bloomstick (Field-Tested): float at most 0.167739 instead of 0.163330
Craft 2215088 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 2 148.33₽ · invest 10 643.72₽
profit on prices without salesat least −288 ₽ rare inputs

P250 | Asiimov (Field-Tested) instead of MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Minimal Wear); Nova | Bloomstick (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164691 instead of 0.163330
Craft 2213926 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 2 105.57₽ · invest 10 539.12₽
sells slowly rare inputs

Five-SeveN | Monkey Business (Field-Tested) instead of MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Minimal Wear); Nova | Bloomstick (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161949 instead of 0.163330
Craft 2223143 · The Fever Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 1 983.97₽ · invest 8 097.76₽
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear) instead of MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2219679 · The Dead Hand Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 1 946.71₽ · invest 9 692.76₽
sells slowly rare inputs

P90 | Deathgaze (Minimal Wear) instead of MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Minimal Wear)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

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How to build