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The Dust 2 Collection + The Harlequin Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +2.16$

Invest 5.01$

Average return 7.17$

ROI +43.0%

Chance of profit 90%

With float: invest at least 12.40 $, profit at most −5.23 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

SG 553 | Damascus Steel

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0795

0.49 $

at 0.49

Steam

×8

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0795

3.65 $

at 0.46

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0083

0.87 $

at 0.87

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 5.01 $ +2.16 (+43.0%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

SG 553 | Damascus Steel

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1628

0.48 $

at 0.16

Steam

×1

SG 553 | Damascus Steel

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

0.49 $

at 0.49

Steam

×4

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

1.82 $

at 0.46

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

1.74 $

at 0.87

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 4.54 $ +0.92 (+20.3%)

What you get 3 outcomes

Profitable outcome 90%
Losing outcome 10%

in profit

best

AWP | Exothermic

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

9.18 $ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

USP-S | Sleeping Potion

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

8.63 $ 45.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

P2000 | Amber Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.039999

2.35 $ 10.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dust 2 Collection + The Harlequin Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Dust 2 Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 4 The Prisma Collection instead of The Dust 2 Collection Variant 5 The Operation Broken Fang Collection instead of The Dust 2 Collection Variant 6 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +1.33 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +1.76 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dust 2 Collection and The Harlequin Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 9 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2211675 · The CS20 Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 2.25$ · invest 5.01$
MAC-10 | Classic Crate (Minimal Wear) instead of SG 553 | Damascus Steel (Minimal Wear); UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074630 instead of 0.079503; UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New): float at most 0.004051 instead of 0.008315
Craft 2211676 · The CS20 Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 2.24$ · invest 4.99$
MAG-7 | Popdog (Minimal Wear) instead of SG 553 | Damascus Steel (Minimal Wear); UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078076 instead of 0.079503; UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New): float at most 0.007067 instead of 0.008315
Craft 2225285 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 2.23$ · invest 5.00$
Five-SeveN | Scumbria (Minimal Wear) instead of SG 553 | Damascus Steel (Minimal Wear); UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076392 instead of 0.079503; UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New): float at most 0.005593 instead of 0.008315
Craft 2223336 · The Fracture Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 2.23$ · invest 4.85$
SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Factory New) instead of SG 553 | Damascus Steel (Minimal Wear); UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075384 instead of 0.079503; UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New): float at most 0.004711 instead of 0.008315
Craft 2228792 · The Harlequin Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 2.21$ · invest 4.90$
SCAR-20 | Fragments (Factory New) instead of SG 553 | Damascus Steel (Minimal Wear); UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075434 instead of 0.079503; UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New): float at most 0.004755 instead of 0.008315
Craft 2216363 · The Clutch Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 2.20$ · invest 4.93$
SG 553 | Aloha (Factory New) instead of SG 553 | Damascus Steel (Minimal Wear); UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075255 instead of 0.079503; UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New): float at most 0.004598 instead of 0.008315
Craft 2224235 · The Gallery Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 2.19$ · invest 5.20$
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Trail Blazer (Factory New) instead of SG 553 | Damascus Steel (Minimal Wear); UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075275 instead of 0.079503; UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New): float at most 0.004615 instead of 0.008315
Craft 2225286 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 2.16$ · invest 4.98$
Negev | Dazzle (Field-Tested) instead of SG 553 | Damascus Steel (Minimal Wear); UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076092 instead of 0.079503; UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New): float at most 0.005330 instead of 0.008315
Craft 2214383 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 2.09$ · invest 5.10$
rare inputs

M249 | Spectre (Factory New) instead of SG 553 | Damascus Steel (Minimal Wear); UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.079240 instead of 0.079503; UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New): float at most 0.008085 instead of 0.008315

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dust 2 Collection + The Harlequin Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 3 outcomes

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How to build