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The Falchion Collection + The Gallery Collection

Classified → Covert

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +15 031.33₸

Invest 43 508.30₸

Average return 58 539.64₸

ROI +34.5%

Chance of profit 90%

With float: invest at least 107 848.67 ₸, profit at most −49 309.03 ₸

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

SG 553 | Cyrex

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0771

4 071.30 ₸

at 4 071.30

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | Neo-Noir

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1705

4 440.22 ₸

at 2 220.11

Steam

×7

UMP-45 | Neo-Noir

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0771

34 996.78 ₸

at 4 999.54

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 43 508.30 ₸ +15 031.33 (+34.5%)

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

SG 553 | Cyrex

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0771

8 142.60 ₸

at 4 071.30

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | Neo-Noir

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1705

4 440.22 ₸

at 2 220.11

Steam

×6

UMP-45 | Neo-Noir

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0771

29 997.24 ₸

at 4 999.54

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 42 580.06 ₸ +12 180.87 (+28.6%)

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

SG 553 | Cyrex

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0771

12 213.90 ₸

at 4 071.30

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | Neo-Noir

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1705

4 440.22 ₸

at 2 220.11

Steam

×5

UMP-45 | Neo-Noir

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0771

24 997.70 ₸

at 4 999.54

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 41 651.82 ₸ +9 330.45 (+22.4%)

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

SG 553 | Cyrex

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0771

16 285.20 ₸

at 4 071.30

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | Neo-Noir

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1705

4 440.22 ₸

at 2 220.11

Steam

×4

UMP-45 | Neo-Noir

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0771

19 998.16 ₸

at 4 999.54

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 40 723.58 ₸ +6 479.99 (+15.9%)

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

SG 553 | Cyrex

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0771

20 356.50 ₸

at 4 071.30

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | Neo-Noir

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1705

4 440.22 ₸

at 2 220.11

Steam

×3

UMP-45 | Neo-Noir

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0771

14 998.62 ₸

at 4 999.54

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 39 795.34 ₸ +3 629.52 (+9.1%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 90%
Losing outcome 10%

in profit

Glock-18 | Gold Toof

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

67 097.34 ₸ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A1-S | Vaporwave

Factory New

float up to 0.057238

76 234.84 ₸ 45.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.095825

27 938.29 ₸ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

AWP | Hyper Beast

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.095825

28 483.97 ₸ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Gallery Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Gallery Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 4 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Gallery Collection Variant 5 The Revolver Case Collection instead of The Gallery Collection Variant 6 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Falchion Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +4 641.63 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +9 535.55 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Gallery Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 11 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2214230 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Gallery Collection · profit 16 512.85₸ · invest 45 788.92₸
sells slowly rare inputs

P250 | Asiimov (Field-Tested) instead of SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear); UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested): float at most 0.170320 instead of 0.170543; UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077068 instead of 0.077145
Craft 2213182 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Gallery Collection · profit 16 455.71₸ · invest 45 649.15₸
sells slowly rare inputs

Five-SeveN | Monkey Business (Field-Tested) instead of SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear); UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested): float at most 0.168602 instead of 0.170543; UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076470 instead of 0.077145
Craft 2219833 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Gallery Collection · profit 16 417.68₸ · invest 42 984.69₸
sells slowly rare inputs

MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Minimal Wear) instead of SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2222292 · The Fever Collection + The Gallery Collection · profit 16 293.22₸ · invest 42 386.78₸
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear) instead of SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2224925 · The Gallery Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 16 249.06₸ · invest 45 161.93₸
sells slowly rare inputs

M4A1-S | Leaded Glass (Minimal Wear) instead of SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear); UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163839 instead of 0.170543; UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074813 instead of 0.077145
Craft 2218764 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Gallery Collection · profit 16 243.43₸ · invest 44 518.16₸
sells slowly rare inputs

P90 | Deathgaze (Minimal Wear) instead of SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2224557 · The Gallery Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection · profit 16 010.37₸ · invest 42 959.62₸
sells slowly rare inputs

MAG-7 | Justice (Minimal Wear) instead of SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2224079 · The Gallery Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit 15 709.22₸ · invest 45 798.65₸
sells slowly rare inputs

MP9 | Airlock (Minimal Wear) instead of SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2224879 · The Gallery Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 15 545.48₸ · invest 42 474.87₸
sells slowly rare inputs

XM1014 | XOXO (Minimal Wear) instead of SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear); UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested): float at most 0.168765 instead of 0.170543; UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076527 instead of 0.077145
Craft 2224272 · The Gallery Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 15 290.02₸ · invest 43 525.78₸
sells slowly rare inputs

FAMAS | Eye of Athena (Minimal Wear) instead of SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear); UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163839 instead of 0.170543; UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074813 instead of 0.077145
Craft 2225043 · The Gallery Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 15 003.77₸ · invest 45 260.07₸
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear) instead of SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Gallery Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build