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The Falchion Collection + The Genesis Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +797.28₸

Invest 1 297.80₸

Average return 2 095.09₸

ROI +61.4%

Chance of profit 80%

With float: invest at least 3 262.26 ₸, profit at most −1 167.17 ₸

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0059

321.24 ₸

at 321.24

Steam

×9

P250 | Bullfrog

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0768

976.56 ₸

at 108.51

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 297.80 ₸ +797.28 (+61.4%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

268.70 ₸

at 268.70

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0042

642.49 ₸

at 321.24

Steam

×1

MP9 | Broken Record

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1639

45.43 ₸

at 45.43

Steam

×6

P250 | Bullfrog

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

651.04 ₸

at 108.51

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 607.66 ₸ +709.62 (+44.1%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

806.10 ₸

at 268.70

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0042

642.49 ₸

at 321.24

Steam

×1

MP9 | Broken Record

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1639

45.43 ₸

at 45.43

Steam

×4

P250 | Bullfrog

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

434.03 ₸

at 108.51

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 928.05 ₸ +611.49 (+31.7%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

1 074.80 ₸

at 268.70

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0042

642.49 ₸

at 321.24

Steam

×1

MP9 | Broken Record

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1639

45.43 ₸

at 45.43

Steam

×3

P250 | Bullfrog

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

325.52 ₸

at 108.51

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 2 088.25 ₸ +562.36 (+26.9%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

1 612.21 ₸

at 268.70

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0042

642.49 ₸

at 321.24

Steam

×1

MP9 | Broken Record

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1639

45.43 ₸

at 45.43

Steam

×1

P250 | Bullfrog

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

108.51 ₸

at 108.51

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 2 408.64 ₸ +464.23 (+19.3%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 80%
Losing outcome 2%
About break-even 18%

in profit

Dual Berettas | Angel Eyes

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 601.94 ₸ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

M4A1-S | Liquidation

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

4 999.54 ₸ 18.00%

Steam

about break-even

MAC-10 | Cat Fight

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 429.99 ₸ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

Nova | Ocular

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 657.00 ₸ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

UMP-45 | Continuum

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 719.38 ₸ 18.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

FAMAS | Neural Net

Factory New

float up to 0.041999

2 336.53 ₸ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

best

P2000 | Handgun

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

8 638.74 ₸ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

M4A4 | Evil Daimyo

Factory New

float up to 0.036399

4 087.28 ₸ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

2 243.58 ₸ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

float up to 0.175699

490.58 ₸ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Genesis Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Genesis Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 4 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Genesis Collection Variant 5 The Glove Collection instead of The Genesis Collection Variant 6 The Prisma Collection instead of The Falchion Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +504.80 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +682.63 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Genesis Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 14 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2226005 · The Gamma Collection + The Genesis Collection · profit 813.52₸ · invest 1 196.73₸
SG 553 | Aerial (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P250 | Bullfrog (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076693 instead of 0.076829
Craft 2213247 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Genesis Collection · profit 813.05₸ · invest 1 145.84₸
Negev | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P250 | Bullfrog (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074590 instead of 0.076829
Craft 2215369 · The Chroma Collection + The Genesis Collection · profit 808.98₸ · invest 1 381.88₸
rare inputs

XM1014 | Quicksilver (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P250 | Bullfrog (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076511 instead of 0.076829
Craft 2227135 · The Genesis Collection + The Revolver Case Collection · profit 806.63₸ · invest 1 276.69₸
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Outbreak (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P250 | Bullfrog (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076511 instead of 0.076829
Craft 2208846 · The Boreal Collection + The Genesis Collection · profit 803.29₸ · invest 1 147.82₸
XM1014 | Copperflage (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P250 | Bullfrog (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076693 instead of 0.076829
Craft 2217722 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Genesis Collection · profit 779.82₸ · invest 1 133.12₸
Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P250 | Bullfrog (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074729 instead of 0.076829
Craft 2226841 · The Genesis Collection + The Kilowatt Collection · profit 774.07₸ · invest 1 107.57₸
Dual Berettas | Hideout (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P250 | Bullfrog (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076827 instead of 0.076829
Craft 2219939 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Genesis Collection · profit 767.76₸ · invest 1 096.56₸
SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P250 | Bullfrog (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076644 instead of 0.076829
Craft 2223269 · The Fracture Collection + The Genesis Collection · profit 763.42₸ · invest 1 128.42₸
SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New)
Craft 2226995 · The Genesis Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection · profit 757.19₸ · invest 1 204.37₸
rare inputs

R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P250 | Bullfrog (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076693 instead of 0.076829
Craft 2214315 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Genesis Collection · profit 756.97₸ · invest 1 237.51₸
rare inputs

M249 | Spectre (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P250 | Bullfrog (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076511 instead of 0.076829
Craft 2226970 · The Genesis Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 749.33₸ · invest 1 309.46₸
rare inputs

MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P250 | Bullfrog (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076256 instead of 0.076829
Craft 2224144 · The Gallery Collection + The Genesis Collection · profit 749.11₸ · invest 1 284.49₸
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Trail Blazer (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P250 | Bullfrog (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076832 instead of 0.076829
Craft 2227252 · The Genesis Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 736.24₸ · invest 1 162.84₸
SCAR-20 | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P250 | Bullfrog (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076511 instead of 0.076829

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Genesis Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

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How to build