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The Falchion Collection + The Harlequin Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +819.73₸

Invest 2 526.76₸

Average return 3 346.50₸

ROI +32.4%

Chance of profit 76%

With float: invest at least 6 155.86 ₸, profit at most −2 809.36 ₸

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0064

1 284.98 ₸

at 321.24

Steam

×6

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0773

1 241.79 ₸

at 206.96

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 2 526.76 ₸ +819.73 (+32.4%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0764

268.70 ₸

at 268.70

Steam

×5

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0056

1 606.22 ₸

at 321.24

Steam

×1

Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1685

101.24 ₸

at 101.24

Steam

×3

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0764

620.89 ₸

at 206.96

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 2 597.05 ₸ +665.63 (+25.6%)

What you get 7 outcomes

Profitable outcome 76%
Losing outcome 24%

in profit

AWP | Exothermic

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

4 166.18 ₸ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

USP-S | Sleeping Potion

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

3 916.34 ₸ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

FAMAS | Neural Net

Factory New

float up to 0.041999

2 336.53 ₸ 8.00%

Steam

in profit

best

P2000 | Handgun

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

8 638.74 ₸ 8.00%

Steam

in profit

M4A4 | Evil Daimyo

Factory New

float up to 0.036399

4 087.28 ₸ 8.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

2 243.58 ₸ 8.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

float up to 0.175699

490.58 ₸ 8.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Harlequin Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 4 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 5 The Glove Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 6 The Prisma Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +369.30 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +637.09 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Harlequin Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 5 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2224236 · The Gallery Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 909.22₸ · invest 2 398.16₸
rare inputs

M249 | Hypnosis (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076390 instead of 0.077368
Craft 2228809 · The Harlequin Collection + The Revolver Case Collection · profit 888.32₸ · invest 2 357.48₸
sells slowly rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Yorick (Minimal Wear), SCAR-20 | Outbreak (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 6; UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074168 instead of 0.077368
Craft 2226076 · The Gamma Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 884.70₸ · invest 2 122.46₸
SG 553 | Aerial (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076942 instead of 0.077368
Craft 2215420 · The Chroma Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 866.56₸ · invest 2 863.08₸
rare inputs

XM1014 | Quicksilver (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076421 instead of 0.077368
Craft 2213311 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 786.51₸ · invest 2 371.43₸
Negev | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074242 instead of 0.077368

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Harlequin Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 7 outcomes

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How to build