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The Falchion Collection + The Horizon Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +100.40₴

Invest 321.22₴

Average return 421.62₴

ROI +31.3%

Chance of profit 88%

With float: invest at least 758.63 ₴, profit at most −337.01 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0037

63.64 ₴

at 31.82

Steam

×3

R8 Revolver | Survivalist

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

86.79 ₴

at 28.93

Steam

×5

Tec-9 | Snek-9

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

170.78 ₴

at 34.16

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 321.22 ₴ +100.40 (+31.3%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 72%
Losing outcome 12%
About break-even 16%

about break-even

AWP | PAW

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

378.90 ₴ 16.00%

Steam

in profit

CZ75-Auto | Eco

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

584.39 ₴ 16.00%

Steam

in profit

G3SG1 | High Seas

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

467.06 ₴ 16.00%

Steam

in profit

MP7 | Powercore

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

516.51 ₴ 16.00%

Steam

in profit

Nova | Toy Soldier

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

642.82 ₴ 16.00%

Steam

at a loss

FAMAS | Neural Net

Factory New

float up to 0.041999

231.45 ₴ 4.00%

Steam

in profit

best

P2000 | Handgun

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

855.72 ₴ 4.00%

Steam

in profit

M4A4 | Evil Daimyo

Factory New

float up to 0.036399

404.87 ₴ 4.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

222.24 ₴ 4.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

float up to 0.175699

48.60 ₴ 4.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Horizon Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Horizon Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 4 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Horizon Collection Variant 5 The Glove Collection instead of The Horizon Collection Variant 6 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Falchion Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +25.27 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +79.26 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Horizon Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 8 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2229220 · The Horizon Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection · profit 113.86₴ · invest 292.37₴
sells slowly rare inputs

Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); R8 Revolver | Survivalist (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 3; R8 Revolver | Survivalist (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074168 instead of 0.074242; Tec-9 | Snek-9 (Minimal Wear): 2 pcs instead of 5; Tec-9 | Snek-9 (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074168 instead of 0.074242
Craft 2229314 · The Horizon Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 109.03₴ · invest 309.56₴
sells slowly rare inputs

M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); R8 Revolver | Survivalist (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 3; R8 Revolver | Survivalist (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074168 instead of 0.074242; Tec-9 | Snek-9 (Minimal Wear): 2 pcs instead of 5; Tec-9 | Snek-9 (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074168 instead of 0.074242
Craft 2226083 · The Gamma Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 103.64₴ · invest 278.39₴
sells slowly rare inputs

SG 553 | Aerial (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); R8 Revolver | Survivalist (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 3; R8 Revolver | Survivalist (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074438 instead of 0.074242; Tec-9 | Snek-9 (Minimal Wear): 2 pcs instead of 5; Tec-9 | Snek-9 (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074438 instead of 0.074242
Craft 2215427 · The Chroma Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 102.29₴ · invest 333.41₴
sells slowly rare inputs

XM1014 | Quicksilver (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); R8 Revolver | Survivalist (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 3; R8 Revolver | Survivalist (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074168 instead of 0.074242; Tec-9 | Snek-9 (Minimal Wear): 2 pcs instead of 5; Tec-9 | Snek-9 (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074168 instead of 0.074242
Craft 2208924 · The Boreal Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 101.60₴ · invest 291.50₴
sells slowly rare inputs

XM1014 | Copperflage (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); R8 Revolver | Survivalist (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074097 instead of 0.074242; Tec-9 | Snek-9 (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074097 instead of 0.074242
Craft 2229395 · The Horizon Collection + The Revolver Case Collection · profit 101.59₴ · invest 302.15₴
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Outbreak (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); R8 Revolver | Survivalist (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 3; R8 Revolver | Survivalist (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074168 instead of 0.074242; Tec-9 | Snek-9 (Minimal Wear): 2 pcs instead of 5; Tec-9 | Snek-9 (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074168 instead of 0.074242
Craft 2229107 · The Horizon Collection + The Kilowatt Collection · profit 95.81₴ · invest 283.53₴
sells slowly rare inputs

Dual Berettas | Hideout (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); R8 Revolver | Survivalist (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074240 instead of 0.074242; Tec-9 | Snek-9 (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074240 instead of 0.074242
Craft 2220048 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 94.56₴ · invest 281.35₴
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); R8 Revolver | Survivalist (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074046 instead of 0.074242; Tec-9 | Snek-9 (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074046 instead of 0.074242

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Horizon Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

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How to build