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The Falchion Collection + The Horizon Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +101.44$

Invest 198.46$

Average return 299.90$

ROI +51.1%

Chance of profit 100%

With float: invest at least 493.11 $, profit at most −193.20 $

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −198 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×8

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0743

149.82 $

at 18.73

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0038

30.33 $

at 30.33

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0743

18.32 $

at 18.32

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 198.46 $ +101.44 (+51.1%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −239 $

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0055

30.33 $

at 30.33

Steam

×7

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0763

128.21 $

at 18.32

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0055

80.02 $

at 40.01

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 238.55 $ +87.50 (+36.7%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −229 $

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0049

60.65 $

at 30.33

Steam

×7

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0757

128.21 $

at 18.32

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0049

40.01 $

at 40.01

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 228.87 $ +93.92 (+41.0%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −208 $

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×8

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

149.82 $

at 18.73

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

18.32 $

at 18.32

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0044

40.01 $

at 40.01

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 208.15 $ +95.03 (+45.6%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −209 $

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

74.91 $

at 18.73

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0042

60.65 $

at 30.33

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

73.26 $

at 18.32

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 208.82 $ +100.88 (+48.3%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 100%
Losing outcome 0%

in profit

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

409.63 $ 45.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

272.63 $ 45.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Neon Rider

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

500.01 $ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

worst

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Code Red

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

257.43 $ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Horizon Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Horizon Collection Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Horizon Collection Variant 5 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 6 The Revolver Case Collection instead of The Falchion Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +46.98 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +83.64 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Horizon Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 4 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2221378 · The Falchion Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit 96.90$ · invest 194.14$
profit on prices without salesat least −194 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ AUG | Syd Mead (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2222025 · The Falchion Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 95.94$ · invest 198.64$
profit on prices without salesat least −199 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | High Roller (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075965 instead of 0.074380; StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New): float at most 0.005219 instead of 0.003833
Craft 2221348 · The Falchion Collection + The Gallery Collection · profit 92.39$ · invest 196.27$
profit on prices without salesat least −189 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ P250 | Epicenter (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2221748 · The Falchion Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection · profit 91.95$ · invest 196.70$
profit on prices without salesat least −197 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Justice (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075965 instead of 0.074380; StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New): float at most 0.005219 instead of 0.003833

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Horizon Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

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How to build