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The Falchion Collection + The Kilowatt Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +115.85₴

Invest 196.40₴

Average return 312.25₴

ROI +59.0%

Chance of profit 56%

With float: invest at least 481.58 ₴, profit at most −169.33 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1651

78.57 ₴

at 19.64

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Hideout

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0046

117.83 ₴

at 19.64

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 196.40 ₴ +115.85 (+59.0%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −6 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1687

58.93 ₴

at 19.64

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0765

83.73 ₴

at 41.87

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Hideout

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0056

98.19 ₴

at 19.64

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 240.85 ₴ +101.92 (+42.3%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 44%
Losing outcome 44%
About break-even 12%

at a loss

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Hybrid

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

196.45 ₴ 12.00%

Steam

about break-even

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Block-18

Factory New

float up to 0.047031

230.78 ₴ 12.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Etch Lord

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

349.73 ₴ 12.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ MP7 | Just Smile

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

213.00 ₴ 12.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Analog Input

Factory New

float up to 0.043320

103.40 ₴ 12.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Neural Net

Factory New

float up to 0.041999

369.06 ₴ 8.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ P2000 | Handgun

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

877.12 ₴ 8.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Evil Daimyo

Factory New

float up to 0.036399

1 147.20 ₴ 8.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

365.26 ₴ 8.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

float up to 0.175699

89.91 ₴ 8.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Kilowatt Collection

Variant 2 The Genesis Collection instead of The Kilowatt Collection Variant 3 The Prisma Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 4 The Prisma Collection instead of The Kilowatt Collection Variant 5 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 6 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Kilowatt Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +74.25 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +109.35 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Kilowatt Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 6 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2217506 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 109.29₴ · invest 187.14₴
rare inputs

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Hideout (Factory New); StatTrak™ FAMAS | Neural Net: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; StatTrak™ P2000 | Handgun: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Field-Tested): 8 pcs instead of 4; StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161902 instead of 0.165118
Craft 2219695 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 100.68₴ · invest 175.05₴
rare inputs

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Hideout (Factory New); StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163881 instead of 0.165118
Craft 2217508 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 98.08₴ · invest 177.84₴
rare inputs

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Hideout (Factory New); StatTrak™ P2000 | Handgun: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Field-Tested): 6 pcs instead of 4; StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162243 instead of 0.165118
Craft 2213085 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 98.02₴ · invest 211.54₴
rare inputs

StatTrak™ Negev | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Hideout (Factory New); StatTrak™ FAMAS | Neural Net: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; StatTrak™ P2000 | Handgun: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Field-Tested): 8 pcs instead of 4; StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161836 instead of 0.165118
Craft 2217509 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 96.58₴ · invest 163.89₴
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Hideout (Factory New); StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Field-Tested): 3 pcs instead of 4; StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165135 instead of 0.165118
Craft 2219696 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 94.55₴ · invest 189.31₴
rare inputs

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Hideout (Factory New); StatTrak™ FAMAS | Neural Net: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; StatTrak™ P2000 | Handgun: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Field-Tested): 8 pcs instead of 4; StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166117 instead of 0.165118

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Kilowatt Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

More

How to build