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The Falchion Collection + The Recoil Collection

Restricted → Classified

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +2.60$

Invest 9.51$

Average return 12.11$

ROI +27.4%

Chance of profit 30%

With float: invest at least 23.56 $, profit at most −11.46 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Share of fitting lots unknown: the price is understated

×2

P2000 | Handgun

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3875

1.54 $

at 0.77

Steam

×7

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1746

7.57 $

at 1.08

Steam

×1

P90 | Vent Rush

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1746

0.40 $

at 0.40

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 9.51 $ +2.60 (+27.4%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 30%
Losing outcome 70%

at a loss

CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

10.01 $ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

best

MP7 | Nemesis

Factory New

float up to 0.047999

25.27 $ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

SG 553 | Cyrex

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

8.97 $ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

AK-47 | Ice Coaled

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.115499

8.61 $ 3.33%

Steam

at a loss

P250 | Visions

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.104999

5.49 $ 3.33%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

5.41 $ 3.33%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Recoil Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 4 The Operation Broken Fang Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 5 The Glove Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 6 The Radiant Collection instead of The Recoil Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +0.70 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +2.07 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Recoil Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 15 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2221515 · The Falchion Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 2.78$ · invest 9.94$
rare inputs

CZ75-Auto | Eco (Well-Worn) instead of P90 | Vent Rush (Field-Tested); P2000 | Handgun (Well-Worn): float at most 0.384631 instead of 0.387500; Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165216 instead of 0.174644
Craft 2221402 · The Falchion Collection + The Gamma Collection · profit 2.66$ · invest 10.46$
rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Limelight (Well-Worn) instead of P90 | Vent Rush (Field-Tested); P2000 | Handgun (Well-Worn): float at most 0.384631 instead of 0.387500; Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165216 instead of 0.174644
Craft 2222137 · The Falchion Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 2.66$ · invest 11.01$
rare inputs

MAG-7 | Praetorian (Field-Tested) instead of P90 | Vent Rush (Field-Tested); P2000 | Handgun (Well-Worn): float at most 0.384952 instead of 0.387500; Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166272 instead of 0.174644
Craft 2221269 · The Falchion Collection + The Fever Collection · profit 2.64$ · invest 9.59$
rare inputs

Nova | Rising Sun (Well-Worn) instead of P90 | Vent Rush (Field-Tested); P2000 | Handgun (Well-Worn): float at most 0.384631 instead of 0.387500; Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165216 instead of 0.174644
Craft 2221293 · The Falchion Collection + The Fracture Collection · profit 2.64$ · invest 9.52$
rare inputs

MP5-SD | Kitbash (Field-Tested) instead of P90 | Vent Rush (Field-Tested); P2000 | Handgun (Well-Worn): float at most 0.386156 instead of 0.387500; Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): float at most 0.170228 instead of 0.174644
Craft 2207590 · The Ascent Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 2.62$ · invest 9.90$
rare inputs

USP-S | Royal Guard (Field-Tested) instead of P90 | Vent Rush (Field-Tested); P2000 | Handgun (Well-Worn): float at most 0.386709 instead of 0.387500; Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): float at most 0.172045 instead of 0.174644
Craft 2217521 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 2.61$ · invest 9.68$
rare inputs

G3SG1 | Scavenger (Field-Tested) instead of P90 | Vent Rush (Field-Tested); P2000 | Handgun (Well-Worn): float at most 0.385214 instead of 0.387500; Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): float at most 0.167134 instead of 0.174644
Craft 2221571 · The Falchion Collection + The Kilowatt Collection · profit 2.61$ · invest 9.51$
rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Analog Input (Field-Tested) instead of P90 | Vent Rush (Field-Tested); P2000 | Handgun (Well-Worn): float at most 0.386876 instead of 0.387500; Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): float at most 0.172593 instead of 0.174644
Craft 2222043 · The Falchion Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 2.60$ · invest 10.71$
rare inputs

UMP-45 | Scaffold (Field-Tested) instead of P90 | Vent Rush (Field-Tested); P2000 | Handgun (Well-Worn): float at most 0.384023 instead of 0.387500; Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163221 instead of 0.174644
Craft 2221878 · The Falchion Collection + The Revolver Case Collection · profit 2.55$ · invest 10.24$
rare inputs

SG 553 | Tiger Moth (Well-Worn) instead of P90 | Vent Rush (Field-Tested); P2000 | Handgun (Well-Worn): float at most 0.384631 instead of 0.387500; Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165216 instead of 0.174644
Craft 2221294 · The Falchion Collection + The Fracture Collection · profit 2.54$ · invest 9.52$
rare inputs

MP5-SD | Kitbash (Field-Tested) instead of P90 | Vent Rush (Field-Tested); P2000 | Handgun (Well-Worn): float at most 0.388109 instead of 0.387500; Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): float at most 0.176645 instead of 0.174644
Craft 2221983 · The Falchion Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 2.53$ · invest 9.60$
rare inputs

Negev | dev_texture (Field-Tested) instead of P90 | Vent Rush (Field-Tested); P2000 | Handgun (Well-Worn): float at most 0.387132 instead of 0.387500; Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): float at most 0.173434 instead of 0.174644
Craft 2221620 · The Falchion Collection + The Operation Broken Fang Collection · profit 2.52$ · invest 11.68$
rare inputs

Nova | Clear Polymer (Well-Worn) instead of P90 | Vent Rush (Field-Tested); P2000 | Handgun (Well-Worn): float at most 0.384631 instead of 0.387500; Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165216 instead of 0.174644
Craft 2221849 · The Falchion Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 2.51$ · invest 9.51$
rare inputs

P90 | Neoqueen (Field-Tested) instead of P90 | Vent Rush (Field-Tested); P2000 | Handgun (Well-Worn): float at most 0.386709 instead of 0.387500; Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): float at most 0.172045 instead of 0.174644
Craft 2222044 · The Falchion Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 2.50$ · invest 10.53$
rare inputs

XM1014 | Seasons (Field-Tested) instead of P90 | Vent Rush (Field-Tested); P2000 | Handgun (Well-Worn): float at most 0.385640 instead of 0.387500; Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): float at most 0.168534 instead of 0.174644

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Recoil Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

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How to build