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The Falchion Collection + The Snakebite Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +825.61₸

Invest 1 886.89₸

Average return 2 712.51₸

ROI +43.8%

Chance of profit 44%

With float: invest at least 4 678.62 ₸, profit at most −1 966.11 ₸

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0765

268.70 ₸

at 268.70

Steam

×8

SG 553 | Heavy Metal

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0765

1 402.14 ₸

at 175.27

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Oscillator

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0056

216.05 ₸

at 216.05

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 886.89 ₸ +825.61 (+43.8%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 42%
Losing outcome 56%
About break-even 2%

in profit

AK-47 | Slate

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

8 172.53 ₸ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

Desert Eagle | Trigger Discipline

Factory New

float up to 0.067899

2 976.99 ₸ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

MAC-10 | Button Masher

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 629.69 ₸ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

Negev | dev_texture

Factory New

float up to 0.045499

846.35 ₸ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

P250 | Cyber Shell

Factory New

float up to 0.059499

1 726.97 ₸ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

FAMAS | Neural Net

Factory New

float up to 0.041999

2 336.53 ₸ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

best

P2000 | Handgun

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

8 638.74 ₸ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

M4A4 | Evil Daimyo

Factory New

float up to 0.036399

4 087.28 ₸ 2.00%

Steam

about break-even

MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

2 243.58 ₸ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

float up to 0.175699

490.58 ₸ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Snakebite Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Snakebite Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 4 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Snakebite Collection Variant 5 The Glove Collection instead of The Snakebite Collection Variant 6 The Prisma Collection instead of The Snakebite Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +425.69 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +670.82 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Snakebite Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 10 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2235635 · The Revolver Case Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 871.42₸ · invest 1 829.33₸
Sawed-Off | Yorick (Minimal Wear) instead of Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2224855 · The Gallery Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 850.20₸ · invest 1 800.84₸
rare inputs

M249 | Hypnosis (Minimal Wear) instead of Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2223825 · The Fracture Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 823.51₸ · invest 1 685.76₸
Negev | Ultralight (Minimal Wear) instead of Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear); SG 553 | Heavy Metal (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074665 instead of 0.076511; UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New): float at most 0.004082 instead of 0.005697
Craft 2230746 · The Kilowatt Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 817.53₸ · invest 1 681.53₸
XM1014 | Irezumi (Minimal Wear) instead of Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear); SG 553 | Heavy Metal (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074765 instead of 0.076511; UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New): float at most 0.004170 instead of 0.005697
Craft 2212140 · The CS20 Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 816.52₸ · invest 1 832.16₸
MAG-7 | Popdog (Minimal Wear) instead of Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear); SG 553 | Heavy Metal (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074772 instead of 0.076511; UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New): float at most 0.004176 instead of 0.005697
Craft 2233881 · The Prisma 2 Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 808.83₸ · invest 1 770.16₸
MP5-SD | Desert Strike (Minimal Wear) instead of Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2222911 · The Fever Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 807.80₸ · invest 1 696.45₸
P2000 | Sure Grip (Minimal Wear) instead of Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear); SG 553 | Heavy Metal (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075728 instead of 0.076511; UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New): float at most 0.005012 instead of 0.005697
Craft 2235305 · The Revolution Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 796.11₸ · invest 1 684.21₸
Tec-9 | Rebel (Minimal Wear) instead of Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2234944 · The Recoil Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 794.63₸ · invest 1 698.32₸
UMP-45 | Roadblock (Minimal Wear) instead of Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2220601 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 794.12₸ · invest 1 687.63₸
MAC-10 | Ensnared (Minimal Wear) instead of Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear); SG 553 | Heavy Metal (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075728 instead of 0.076511; UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New): float at most 0.005012 instead of 0.005697

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Snakebite Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

More

How to build