to all crafts

The Falchion Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection

Restricted → Classified

Average profit +1.85$

Invest 14.00$

Average return 15.85$

ROI +13.2%

Chance of profit 40%

With float: invest at least 33.28 $, profit at most −17.43 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Share of fitting lots unknown: the price is understated

×2

P2000 | Handgun

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3851

1.54 $

at 0.77

Steam

×7

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1669

7.57 $

at 1.08

Steam

×1

Dual Berettas | Marina

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1669

4.90 $

at 4.90

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 14.00 $ +1.85 (+13.2%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 40%
Losing outcome 60%

at a loss

CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.139999

10.00 $ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

MP7 | Nemesis

Factory New

float up to 0.044799

25.27 $ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

SG 553 | Cyrex

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.139999

8.97 $ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

AWP | Redline

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.141999

64.38 $ 3.33%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A1-S | Guardian

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

64.58 $ 3.33%

Steam

in profit

P250 | Mehndi

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.139999

19.62 $ 3.33%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection Variant 3 The Operation Broken Fang Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection Variant 4 The Glove Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection Variant 5 The Radiant Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection Variant 6 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −0.69 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +1.12 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Winter Offensive Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2201491 · The 2021 Train Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 1.95$ · invest 14.60$
profit on prices without salesat least −2 $ rare inputs

CZ75-Auto | Syndicate (Field-Tested) instead of Dual Berettas | Marina (Field-Tested); P2000 | Handgun (Well-Worn): float at most 0.387500 instead of 0.385156; Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): float at most 0.174644 instead of 0.166943
Craft 2221487 · The Falchion Collection + The Graphic Design Collection · profit 1.80$ · invest 15.34$
rare inputs

P90 | Attack Vector (Field-Tested) instead of Dual Berettas | Marina (Field-Tested); P2000 | Handgun (Well-Worn): float at most 0.386218 instead of 0.385156; Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): float at most 0.170431 instead of 0.166943

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection

How to build i Ways to build 2 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

More

How to build