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The Horizon Collection + The Phoenix Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert

Average profit +51.32$

Invest 91.76$

Average return 143.08$

ROI +55.9%

Chance of profit 50%

With float: invest at least 225.70 $, profit at most −82.62 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×8

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1627

60.31 $

at 7.54

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ P90 | Trigon

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1627

31.45 $

at 15.73

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 91.76 $ +51.32 (+55.9%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −133 $

Share of fitting lots unknown: the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1697

7.54 $

at 7.54

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ P90 | Trigon

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4758

13.55 $

at 13.55

Steam

×8

StatTrak™ P90 | Trigon

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1697

125.80 $

at 15.73

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 146.89 $ +20.40 (+13.9%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 50%
Losing outcome 40%
About break-even 10%

in profit

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Neon Rider

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

238.95 $ 40.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Code Red

Field-Tested

float up to 0.187499

74.21 $ 40.00%

Steam

about break-even

StatTrak™ AUG | Chameleon

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.093749

105.22 $ 10.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ AWP | Asiimov

Field-Tested

float up to 0.333749

287.50 $ 10.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Horizon Collection + The Phoenix Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Horizon Collection Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Horizon Collection Variant 5 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection Variant 6 The Revolver Case Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +32.30 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +47.37 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Horizon Collection and The Phoenix Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 9 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2229416 · The Horizon Collection + The Revolver Case Collection · profit 62.23$ · invest 86.04$
sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ P90 | Shapewood (Field-Tested), StatTrak™ G3SG1 | The Executioner (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ P90 | Trigon (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Code Red: Minimal Wear instead of Field-Tested; StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer (Field-Tested): 6 pcs instead of 8; StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164360 instead of 0.162787
Craft 2229526 · The Horizon Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 62.05$ · invest 186.18$
profit on prices without salesat least −127 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer (Minimal Wear), StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Llama Cannon (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer (Field-Tested), StatTrak™ P90 | Trigon (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ AK-47 | Neon Rider: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Code Red: Minimal Wear instead of Field-Tested
Craft 2229309 · The Horizon Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 60.77$ · invest 77.88$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum (Field-Tested), StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ P90 | Trigon (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Code Red: Minimal Wear instead of Field-Tested; StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer (Field-Tested): 6 pcs instead of 8; StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164611 instead of 0.162787
Craft 2229418 · The Horizon Collection + The Revolver Case Collection · profit 54.27$ · invest 81.51$
sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | The Executioner (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ P90 | Trigon (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer (Field-Tested): float at most 0.167307 instead of 0.162787
Craft 2220075 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 49.61$ · invest 74.32$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement (Field-Tested), StatTrak™ MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ P90 | Trigon (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163658 instead of 0.162787
Craft 2224279 · The Gallery Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 49.32$ · invest 87.73$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested), StatTrak™ P250 | Epicenter (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ P90 | Trigon (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162024 instead of 0.162787
Craft 2214415 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 48.76$ · invest 87.13$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ AUG | Fleet Flock (Field-Tested), StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ P90 | Trigon (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161709 instead of 0.162787
Craft 2229392 · The Horizon Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 47.77$ · invest 71.51$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ P2000 | Wicked Sick (Field-Tested), StatTrak™ P2000 | Wicked Sick (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ P90 | Trigon (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163658 instead of 0.162787
Craft 2225313 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 46.82$ · invest 87.48$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ MP9 | Airlock (Field-Tested), StatTrak™ AUG | Syd Mead (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ P90 | Trigon (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162024 instead of 0.162787

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Horizon Collection + The Phoenix Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build