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The Italy Collection + The Overpass Collection

Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade

Average profit +80.88₽

Invest 152.94₽

Average return 233.82₽

ROI +52.9%

Chance of profit 90%

With float: invest at least 382.12 ₽, profit at most −148.30 ₽

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Nova | Sand Dune

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0763

4.18 ₽

at 4.18

Steam

×8

Souvenir M249 | Contrast Spray

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1683

120.40 ₽

at 15.05

souvenirSteam

×1

Souvenir M249 | Contrast Spray

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0763

28.36 ₽

at 28.36

souvenirSteam

Set · 10 pcs 152.94 ₽ +80.88 (+52.9%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 90%
Losing outcome 10%

in profit

Desert Eagle | Urban DDPAT

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

301.90 ₽ 22.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

Glock-18 | Night

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

477.99 ₽ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

P2000 | Grassland

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

190.18 ₽ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

MP7 | Gunsmoke

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

217.19 ₽ 22.50%

Steam

at a loss

Dual Berettas | Stained

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

14.35 ₽ 1.67%

Steam

at a loss

P2000 | Granite Marbleized

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

13.23 ₽ 1.67%

Steam

at a loss

M4A1-S | Boreal Forest

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

27.83 ₽ 1.67%

Steam

at a loss

Nova | Candy Apple

Factory New

float up to 0.036486

22.08 ₽ 1.67%

Steam

at a loss

UMP-45 | Gunsmoke

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

17.62 ₽ 1.67%

Steam

at a loss

worst

XM1014 | CaliCamo

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.072972

10.37 ₽ 1.67%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Italy Collection + The Overpass Collection

Variant 2 The Safehouse Collection instead of The Overpass Collection Variant 3 The Lake Collection instead of The Overpass Collection Variant 4 The Radiant Collection instead of The Overpass Collection Variant 5 The Safehouse Collection instead of The Italy Collection Variant 6 The Train Collection instead of The Overpass Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +28.80 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +62.36 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Italy Collection and The Overpass Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2208542 · The Bank Collection + The Overpass Collection · profit 80.61₽ · invest 152.86₽
sells slowly rare inputs

Negev | Army Sheen (Factory New) instead of Nova | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear); Souvenir M249 | Contrast Spray (Field-Tested): float at most 0.168684 instead of 0.168399; Souvenir M249 | Contrast Spray (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076498 instead of 0.076399
Craft 2201009 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Overpass Collection · profit 80.53₽ · invest 160.07₽
sells slowly rare inputs

Souvenir P250 | Drought (Factory New) instead of Nova | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear); Souvenir M249 | Contrast Spray (Field-Tested): float at most 0.169187 instead of 0.168399; Souvenir M249 | Contrast Spray (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076674 instead of 0.076399
Craft 2205642 · The Anubis Collection + The Overpass Collection · profit 77.97₽ · invest 159.82₽
sells slowly rare inputs

Souvenir XM1014 | Hieroglyph (Minimal Wear) instead of Nova | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear); Souvenir M249 | Contrast Spray (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163735 instead of 0.168399; Souvenir M249 | Contrast Spray (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074777 instead of 0.076399

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Italy Collection + The Overpass Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

More

How to build