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The Shadow Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Restricted → Classified

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +270.67₴

Invest 967.45₴

Average return 1 238.12₴

ROI +28.0%

Chance of profit 93%

With float: invest at least 2 405.03 ₴, profit at most −1 166.91 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

115.72 ₴

at 115.72

Steam

×8

Zeus x27 | Charged Up

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1642

733.34 ₴

at 91.67

Steam

×1

Tec-9 | Whiteout

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1642

118.38 ₴

at 118.38

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 967.45 ₴ +270.67 (+28.0%)

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

MP7 | Special Delivery

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

93.04 ₴

at 93.04

Steam

×1

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

115.72 ₴

at 115.72

Steam

×8

Zeus x27 | Charged Up

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1631

733.34 ₴

at 91.67

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 942.11 ₴ +246.09 (+26.1%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1628

72.37 ₴

at 72.37

Steam

×3

MP7 | Special Delivery

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

279.13 ₴

at 93.04

Steam

×6

Zeus x27 | Charged Up

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1628

550.01 ₴

at 91.67

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 901.51 ₴ +186.84 (+20.7%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1628

144.75 ₴

at 72.37

Steam

×3

MP7 | Special Delivery

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

279.13 ₴

at 93.04

Steam

×5

Zeus x27 | Charged Up

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1628

458.34 ₴

at 91.67

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 882.22 ₴ +156.21 (+17.7%)

What you get 5 outcomes

Profitable outcome 93%
Losing outcome 7%

in profit

best

M4A4 | Hellish

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

1 663.37 ₴ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

MP9 | Latte Rush

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

1 299.13 ₴ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

AK-47 | Frontside Misty

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.147499

1 481.23 ₴ 3.33%

Steam

at a loss

worst

G3SG1 | Flux

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.134999

520.55 ₴ 3.33%

Steam

at a loss

SSG 08 | Big Iron

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.095999

719.60 ₴ 3.33%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Shadow Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Variant 2 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 3 only The Train 2025 Collection Variant 4 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 5 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 6 The eSports 2013 Winter Collection instead of The Shadow Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +89.16 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +184.36 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Shadow Collection and The Train 2025 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 13 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2212244 · The CS20 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 300.42₴ · invest 898.26₴
rare inputs

M249 | Aztec (Minimal Wear) instead of M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear); Zeus x27 | Charged Up (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161642 instead of 0.164264; Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161642 instead of 0.164264
Craft 2219541 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 298.96₴ · invest 930.95₴
MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear) instead of M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2227344 · The Genesis Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 298.36₴ · invest 914.66₴
UMP-45 | Continuum (Minimal Wear) instead of M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2223028 · The Fever Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 296.42₴ · invest 893.56₴
P90 | Wave Breaker (Minimal Wear) instead of M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear); Zeus x27 | Charged Up (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163851 instead of 0.164264; Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163851 instead of 0.164264
Craft 2223944 · The Fracture Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 294.39₴ · invest 887.79₴
Galil AR | Connexion (Minimal Wear) instead of M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear); Zeus x27 | Charged Up (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162291 instead of 0.164264; Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162291 instead of 0.164264
Craft 2213826 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 292.69₴ · invest 922.03₴
UMP-45 | Grand Prix (Field-Tested) instead of M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear); Zeus x27 | Charged Up (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165229 instead of 0.164264; Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165229 instead of 0.164264
Craft 2217014 · The Clutch Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 291.87₴ · invest 890.09₴
rare inputs

Nova | Wild Six (Minimal Wear) instead of M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear); Zeus x27 | Charged Up (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162291 instead of 0.164264; Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162291 instead of 0.164264
Craft 2236693 · The Snakebite Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 286.39₴ · invest 899.28₴
P250 | Cyber Shell (Minimal Wear) instead of M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear); Zeus x27 | Charged Up (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162868 instead of 0.164264; Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162868 instead of 0.164264
Craft 2225878 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 283.37₴ · invest 931.28₴
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Powercore (Minimal Wear) instead of M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2225013 · The Gallery Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 281.88₴ · invest 920.37₴
rare inputs

P90 | Randy Rush (Minimal Wear) instead of M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear); Zeus x27 | Charged Up (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161642 instead of 0.164264; Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161642 instead of 0.164264
Craft 2233971 · The Prisma 2 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 281.19₴ · invest 910.65₴
Sawed-Off | Apocalypto (Minimal Wear) instead of M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2226626 · The Gamma Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 275.03₴ · invest 955.20₴
rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Limelight (Minimal Wear) instead of M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2214978 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 272.13₴ · invest 942.19₴
rare inputs

CZ75-Auto | Red Astor (Minimal Wear) instead of M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Shadow Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 5 outcomes

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How to build