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The Snakebite Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

Classified → Covert

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +821.21₴

Invest 5 835.95₴

Average return 6 657.16₴

ROI +14.1%

Chance of profit 45%

With float: invest at least 13 938.85 ₴, profit at most −7 281.69 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

XM1014 | XOXO

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0755

300.92 ₴

at 300.92

Steam

×6

Nova | Bloomstick

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1658

3 118.77 ₴

at 519.79

Steam

×3

P2000 | Corticera

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0755

2 416.26 ₴

at 805.42

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 5 835.95 ₴ +821.21 (+14.1%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 45%
Losing outcome 55%

at a loss

AK-47 | Jaguar

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.113636

5 364.63 ₴ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A4 | Bullet Rain

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

11 158.56 ₴ 45.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

M4A4 | In Living Color

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.089772

2 158.27 ₴ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

USP-S | The Traitor

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.113636

2 247.63 ₴ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Snakebite Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 3 only The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 4 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 5 The Vanguard Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 6 The Spectrum 2 Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −294.35 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +335.70 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Snakebite Collection and The eSports 2014 Summer Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 5 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2217131 · The Clutch Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 877.39₴ · invest 5 860.14₴
sells slowly rare inputs

USP-S | Cortex (Minimal Wear) instead of XM1014 | XOXO (Minimal Wear); Nova | Bloomstick (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161886 instead of 0.165873; P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074134 instead of 0.075521
Craft 2215934 · The Chroma Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 864.66₴ · invest 6 168.02₴
sells slowly rare inputs

P250 | Muertos (Minimal Wear) instead of XM1014 | XOXO (Minimal Wear); Nova | Bloomstick (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162655 instead of 0.165873; P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074401 instead of 0.075521
Craft 2236961 · The Spectrum 2 Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 837.82₴ · invest 6 102.12₴
sells slowly rare inputs

M4A1-S | Leaded Glass (Minimal Wear) instead of XM1014 | XOXO (Minimal Wear); Nova | Bloomstick (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164022 instead of 0.165873; P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074877 instead of 0.075521
Craft 2225998 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 837.43₴ · invest 6 165.19₴
sells slowly rare inputs

MP9 | Airlock (Minimal Wear) instead of XM1014 | XOXO (Minimal Wear); Nova | Bloomstick (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166528 instead of 0.165873; P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075749 instead of 0.075521
Craft 2229690 · The Horizon Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 795.90₴ · invest 5 940.05₴
sells slowly rare inputs

FAMAS | Eye of Athena (Minimal Wear) instead of XM1014 | XOXO (Minimal Wear); Nova | Bloomstick (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164022 instead of 0.165873; P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074877 instead of 0.075521

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Snakebite Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build