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The Wildfire Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

Classified → Covert

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +5 695.87₸

Invest 64 759.67₸

Average return 70 455.54₸

ROI +8.8%

Chance of profit 50%

With float: invest at least 154 681.80 ₸, profit at most −84 226.26 ₸

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

AWP | Elite Build

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1656

5 998.67 ₸

at 5 998.67

Steam

×5

Nova | Bloomstick

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1656

26 237.32 ₸

at 5 247.46

Steam

×4

P2000 | Corticera

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

32 523.67 ₸

at 8 130.92

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 64 759.67 ₸ +5 695.87 (+8.8%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 50%
Losing outcome 50%

at a loss

AK-47 | Jaguar

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.113636

54 157.36 ₸ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A4 | Bullet Rain

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

112 648.53 ₸ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

AK-47 | Fuel Injector

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.113636

103 123.11 ₸ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

M4A4 | The Battlestar

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.072727

16 101.11 ₸ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Wildfire Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

Variant 2 only The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 3 only The Wildfire Collection Variant 4 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −5 911.23 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +590.37 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Wildfire Collection and The eSports 2014 Summer Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2232773 · The Operation Riptide Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 6 082.72₸ · invest 66 981.77₸
sells slowly rare inputs

Glock-18 | Snack Attack (Field-Tested) instead of AWP | Elite Build (Field-Tested)
Craft 2228110 · The Glove Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 5 776.04₸ · invest 73 055.17₸
sells slowly rare inputs

P90 | Shallow Grave (Field-Tested) instead of AWP | Elite Build (Field-Tested); Nova | Bloomstick (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161635 instead of 0.165610; P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074047 instead of 0.075429

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Wildfire Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

How to build i Ways to build 3 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build