The Wildfire Collection + The Clutch Collection

Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +174 775.39₸

Invest 200 249.18₸

Average return 375 024.57₸

ROI +87.3%

Chance of profit 53%

With float: invest at least 464 843.32 ₸, profit at most −89 818.75 ₸

The gain is understated: 3 outcomes have no price, that is 4.6% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat: without them the profit is −55 037.44 ₸

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×1

M4A4 | The Battlestar

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0087

42 663.45 ₸

at 42 663.45

Steam

×4

MP7 | Bloodsport

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0087

157 585.73 ₸

at 39 396.43

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 200 249.18 ₸ +174 775.39 (+87.3%)

The gain is understated: 3 outcomes have no price, that is 9.2% of the chance

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −18 657 ₸

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×2

M4A4 | The Battlestar

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0087

85 326.90 ₸

at 42 663.45

Steam

×3

MP7 | Bloodsport

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0087

118 189.30 ₸

at 39 396.43

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 203 516.20 ₸ +113 413.19 (+55.7%)

The gain is understated: 3 outcomes have no price, that is 13.8% of the chance

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −75 754 ₸

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×3

M4A4 | The Battlestar

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0087

127 990.34 ₸

at 42 663.45

Steam

×2

MP7 | Bloodsport

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0087

78 792.87 ₸

at 39 396.43

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 206 783.21 ₸ +52 050.99 (+25.2%)

What you get 37 outcomes

Profitable outcome 53%
Losing outcome 39%
About break-even 3%
Above the Steam cap 5%

Order

in profit

★ Hand Wraps | Duct Tape

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

277 948.11 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Hand Wraps | Cobalt Skulls

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

510 649.46 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

about break-even

★ Hand Wraps | Overprint

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

228 302.98 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Arboreal

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

143 103.72 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | Turtle

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

306 317.06 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | POW!

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

340 331.02 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | Polygon

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

439 367.34 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | Transport

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

176 989.19 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Imperial Plaid

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

634 470.15 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | King Snake

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 088 534.86 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Overtake

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

170 317.21 ₸ 3.33%

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Racing Green

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

80 755.13 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

719 576.45 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Specialist Gloves | Buckshot

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

147 499.80 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

461 313.70 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Mogul

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

370 436.39 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Omega

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

564 186.83 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

best

★ Sport Gloves | Vice

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

2 540 973.36 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Amphibious

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 071 070.19 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Bronze Morph

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

307 517.68 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Hydra Gloves | Emerald

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

117 999.92 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Hydra Gloves | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

242 404.63 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Hydra Gloves | Mangrove

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

67 097.66 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Hydra Gloves | Rattler

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

63 491.07 ₸ 3.33%

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

110 547.06 ₸ 1.54%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.013378

111 741.65 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Blue Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

134 639.40 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ Bowie Knife | Stained

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

660 309.82 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ Bowie Knife | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

502 341.05 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

★ Bowie Knife | Forest DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 1.54%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Boreal Forest

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

96 193.39 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

★ Bowie Knife | Crimson Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 1.54%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Night

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

170 694.41 ₸ 1.54%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Scorched

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

90 862.34 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

★ Bowie Knife | Safari Mesh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 1.54%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Urban Masked

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

187 080.48 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ Bowie Knife

no wear

46 438.09 ₸ 1.54%

pricier variants exist

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Wildfire Collection + The Clutch Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 3 The Glove Collection instead of The Clutch Collection Variant 4 only The Clutch Collection Variant 5 The Recoil Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 6 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Clutch Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +156 721.42 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +172 355.48 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Clutch Collection and The Wildfire Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 31 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2238554 · The Clutch Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 174 775.37₸ · invest 200 249.18₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist
Craft 2238562 · The eSports 2013 Winter Collection + The Clutch Collection · profit 173 780.23₸ · invest 222 919.12₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

M4A4 | X-Ray (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New): float at most 0.007121 instead of 0.008756
Craft 2238563 · The Clutch Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection · profit 173 780.23₸ · invest 222 919.12₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

M4A4 | X-Ray (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New): float at most 0.007121 instead of 0.008756
Craft 2238518 · The Prisma Collection + The Clutch Collection · profit 172 607.07₸ · invest 200 405.69₸
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Five-SeveN | Angry Mob (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New): float at most 0.008911 instead of 0.008756
Craft 2238520 · The Clutch Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 172 607.07₸ · invest 200 405.69₸
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Five-SeveN | Angry Mob (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New): float at most 0.008911 instead of 0.008756
Craft 2238484 · The Gamma Collection + The Clutch Collection · profit 172 587.35₸ · invest 224 851.23₸
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Glock-18 | Wasteland Rebel (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New): float at most 0.008439 instead of 0.008756
Craft 2238485 · The Clutch Collection + The Gamma Collection · profit 172 587.35₸ · invest 224 851.23₸
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Glock-18 | Wasteland Rebel (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New): float at most 0.008439 instead of 0.008756
Craft 2238002 · The Clutch Collection + The Arms Deal 3 Collection · profit 172 402.14₸ · invest 224 297.21₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

CZ75-Auto | Victoria (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New): float at most 0.009024 instead of 0.008756
Craft 2238004 · The Arms Deal 3 Collection + The Clutch Collection · profit 172 402.14₸ · invest 224 297.21₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

CZ75-Auto | Victoria (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New): float at most 0.009024 instead of 0.008756
Craft 2238498 · The Kilowatt Collection + The Clutch Collection · profit 168 230.21₸ · invest 192 983.19₸
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

AWP | Chrome Cannon (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New): float at most 0.009444 instead of 0.008756
Craft 2238500 · The Clutch Collection + The Kilowatt Collection · profit 168 230.21₸ · invest 192 983.19₸
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

AWP | Chrome Cannon (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New): float at most 0.009444 instead of 0.008756
Craft 2237920 · The Clutch Collection + The Arms Deal 2 Collection · profit 167 045.49₸ · invest 229 653.86₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

SSG 08 | Blood in the Water (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New): float at most 0.009417 instead of 0.008756
Craft 2237922 · The Arms Deal 2 Collection + The Clutch Collection · profit 167 045.49₸ · invest 229 653.86₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

SSG 08 | Blood in the Water (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New): float at most 0.009417 instead of 0.008756
Craft 2238384 · The Clutch Collection + The Chroma Collection · profit 165 217.28₸ · invest 225 719.23₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

AWP | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New): float at most 0.005081 instead of 0.008756
Craft 2238385 · The Chroma Collection + The Clutch Collection · profit 165 217.28₸ · invest 225 719.23₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

AWP | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New): float at most 0.005081 instead of 0.008756
Craft 2238462 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Clutch Collection · profit 164 929.21₸ · invest 212 048.78₸
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

MP9 | Starlight Protector (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New): float at most 0.009125 instead of 0.008756
Craft 2238464 · The Clutch Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection · profit 164 929.21₸ · invest 212 048.78₸
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

MP9 | Starlight Protector (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New): float at most 0.009125 instead of 0.008756
Craft 2238482 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Clutch Collection · profit 164 020.93₸ · invest 233 417.65₸
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

FAMAS | Roll Cage (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New): float at most 0.009444 instead of 0.008756
Craft 2238483 · The Clutch Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit 164 020.93₸ · invest 233 417.65₸
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

FAMAS | Roll Cage (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New): float at most 0.009444 instead of 0.008756
Craft 2238470 · The Fever Collection + The Clutch Collection · profit 163 756.65₸ · invest 200 347.00₸
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

FAMAS | Bad Trip (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New): float at most 0.009444 instead of 0.008756
Craft 2238472 · The Clutch Collection + The Fever Collection · profit 163 756.65₸ · invest 200 347.00₸
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

FAMAS | Bad Trip (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New): float at most 0.009444 instead of 0.008756
Craft 2238544 · The Spectrum 2 Collection + The Clutch Collection · profit 162 894.12₸ · invest 220 810.67₸
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

P250 | See Ya Later (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New): float at most 0.008911 instead of 0.008756
Craft 2238545 · The Clutch Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 162 894.12₸ · invest 220 810.67₸
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

P250 | See Ya Later (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New): float at most 0.008911 instead of 0.008756
Craft 2238536 · The Shattered Web Collection + The Clutch Collection · profit 161 382.66₸ · invest 211 324.51₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

MAC-10 | Stalker (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New): float at most 0.009444 instead of 0.008756
Craft 2238538 · The Clutch Collection + The Shattered Web Collection · profit 161 382.66₸ · invest 211 324.51₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

MAC-10 | Stalker (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New): float at most 0.009444 instead of 0.008756
Craft 2238246 · The Clutch Collection + The Chroma 2 Collection · profit 161 190.99₸ · invest 229 745.53₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

MAC-10 | Neon Rider (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New): float at most 0.008066 instead of 0.008756
Craft 2238247 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Clutch Collection · profit 161 190.99₸ · invest 229 745.53₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

MAC-10 | Neon Rider (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New): float at most 0.008066 instead of 0.008756
Craft 2238316 · The Clutch Collection + The Chroma 3 Collection · profit 158 466.78₸ · invest 232 469.74₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

PP-Bizon | Judgement of Anubis (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New): float at most 0.008286 instead of 0.008756
Craft 2238317 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Clutch Collection · profit 158 466.78₸ · invest 232 469.74₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

PP-Bizon | Judgement of Anubis (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New): float at most 0.008286 instead of 0.008756
Craft 2238546 · The Spectrum Collection + The Clutch Collection · profit 158 045.47₸ · invest 225 659.32₸
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

USP-S | Neo-Noir (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New): float at most 0.008911 instead of 0.008756
Craft 2238547 · The Clutch Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 158 045.47₸ · invest 225 659.32₸
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

USP-S | Neo-Noir (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New): float at most 0.008911 instead of 0.008756

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Wildfire Collection + The Clutch Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 37 outcomes

More

How to build