The Wildfire Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection

Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit −82 554.63₸

Invest 233 878.73₸

Average return 151 324.10₸

ROI −35.3%

Chance of profit 16%

With float: invest at least 540 162.05 ₸, profit at most −388 837.96 ₸

The gain is understated: 3 outcomes have no price, that is 18.5% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat: without them the profit is −104 055.31 ₸

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×4

M4A4 | The Battlestar

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0087

170 653.79 ₸

at 42 663.45

Steam

×1

P250 | See Ya Later

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0087

63 224.93 ₸

at 63 224.93

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 233 878.73 ₸ −82 554.63 (−35.3%)

What you get 43 outcomes

Profitable outcome 16%
Losing outcome 65%
Above the Steam cap 18%

Order

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

110 547.06 ₸ 6.15%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.013378

111 741.65 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Blue Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

134 639.40 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ Bowie Knife | Stained

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

660 309.82 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ Bowie Knife | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

502 341.05 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

★ Bowie Knife | Forest DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 6.15%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Boreal Forest

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

96 193.39 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

★ Bowie Knife | Crimson Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 6.15%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Night

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

170 694.41 ₸ 6.15%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Scorched

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

90 862.34 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

★ Bowie Knife | Safari Mesh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 6.15%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Urban Masked

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

187 080.48 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife

no wear

46 438.09 ₸ 6.15%

pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

855 432.30 ₸ 0.67%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist 7 phases, price averaged

Steam

in profit

★ Butterfly Knife | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

777 133.33 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ Butterfly Knife | Tiger Tooth

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

660 309.29 ₸ 0.67%

pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ Butterfly Knife | Damascus Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.006756

544 113.57 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ Butterfly Knife | Rust Coat

Well-Worn

float up to 0.408108

445 230.44 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

best

★ Butterfly Knife | Ultraviolet

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

859 847.24 ₸ 0.67%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Falchion Knife | Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

173 886.28 ₸ 0.67%

pricier variants exist 7 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ Falchion Knife | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

95 274.39 ₸ 0.67%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Falchion Knife | Tiger Tooth

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

79 199.10 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Falchion Knife | Damascus Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.006756

54 797.06 ₸ 0.67%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Falchion Knife | Rust Coat

Well-Worn

float up to 0.408108

35 985.21 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Falchion Knife | Ultraviolet

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

125 289.92 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Shadow Daggers | Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

65 803.39 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist 7 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ Shadow Daggers | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

46 159.93 ₸ 0.67%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Shadow Daggers | Tiger Tooth

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

36 347.07 ₸ 0.67%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Shadow Daggers | Damascus Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.006756

35 047.03 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ Shadow Daggers | Rust Coat

Well-Worn

float up to 0.408108

24 961.30 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Shadow Daggers | Ultraviolet

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

118 494.46 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

138 824.34 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist 7 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

80 550.52 ₸ 0.67%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Tiger Tooth

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

58 410.87 ₸ 0.67%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Damascus Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.006756

43 960.18 ₸ 0.67%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Rust Coat

Well-Worn

float up to 0.408108

31 999.80 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Ultraviolet

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

155 009.48 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Huntsman Knife | Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

153 862.35 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist 7 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ Huntsman Knife | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

95 157.71 ₸ 0.67%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Huntsman Knife | Tiger Tooth

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

72 500.01 ₸ 0.67%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Huntsman Knife | Damascus Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.006756

62 084.65 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Huntsman Knife | Rust Coat

Well-Worn

float up to 0.408108

30 287.00 ₸ 0.67%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Huntsman Knife | Ultraviolet

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

244 754.68 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New) × 4 13% of the wear range fits at least ×2.37 170 653.79 → 403 596.22 ₸

P250 | See Ya Later (Factory New) × 1 13% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 63 224.93 → 136 565.86 ₸

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.013513414

outcomes come out up to 0.001081, 0.013378, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.000000, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.006756, 0.408108, 0.069999, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.006756, 0.408108, 0.069999, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.006756, 0.408108, 0.069999, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.006756, 0.408108, 0.069999, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.006756, 0.408108, 0.069999

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Wildfire Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The Spectrum 2 Collection Variant 3 The Glove Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 4 The Clutch Collection instead of The Spectrum 2 Collection Variant 5 The Recoil Collection instead of The Spectrum 2 Collection Variant 6 The Danger Zone Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −90 004.34 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −84 507.54 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Spectrum 2 Collection and The Wildfire Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 19 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2238444 · The Wildfire Collection + The Chroma Collection · profit −80 231.46₸ · invest 238 787.29₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

AWP | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) instead of P250 | See Ya Later (Factory New); M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New): float at most 0.005045 instead of 0.008799
Craft 2238445 · The Chroma Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit −80 231.46₸ · invest 238 787.29₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

AWP | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) instead of P250 | See Ya Later (Factory New); M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New): float at most 0.005045 instead of 0.008799
Craft 2238820 · The Wildfire Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection · profit −80 519.53₸ · invest 225 116.84₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

MP9 | Starlight Protector (Factory New) instead of P250 | See Ya Later (Factory New); M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New): float at most 0.009008 instead of 0.008799
Craft 2238821 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit −80 519.53₸ · invest 225 116.84₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

MP9 | Starlight Protector (Factory New) instead of P250 | See Ya Later (Factory New); M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New): float at most 0.009008 instead of 0.008799
Craft 2239230 · The Wildfire Collection + The Operation Broken Fang Collection · profit −80 745.44₸ · invest 278 351.72₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Factory New) instead of P250 | See Ya Later (Factory New); M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New): float at most 0.009319 instead of 0.008799
Craft 2239231 · The Operation Broken Fang Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit −80 745.44₸ · invest 278 351.72₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Factory New) instead of P250 | See Ya Later (Factory New); M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New): float at most 0.009319 instead of 0.008799
Craft 2239006 · The Wildfire Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit −81 427.81₸ · invest 246 485.71₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

FAMAS | Roll Cage (Factory New) instead of P250 | See Ya Later (Factory New); M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New): float at most 0.009319 instead of 0.008799
Craft 2239007 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit −81 427.81₸ · invest 246 485.71₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

FAMAS | Roll Cage (Factory New) instead of P250 | See Ya Later (Factory New); M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New): float at most 0.009319 instead of 0.008799
Craft 2238912 · The Wildfire Collection + The Fever Collection · profit −81 692.09₸ · invest 213 415.06₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

FAMAS | Bad Trip (Factory New) instead of P250 | See Ya Later (Factory New); M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New): float at most 0.009319 instead of 0.008799
Craft 2238913 · The Fever Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit −81 692.09₸ · invest 213 415.06₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

FAMAS | Bad Trip (Factory New) instead of P250 | See Ya Later (Factory New); M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New): float at most 0.009319 instead of 0.008799
Craft 2239521 · The Spectrum 2 Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit −82 554.62₸ · invest 233 878.73₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist
Craft 2239486 · The Wildfire Collection + The Shattered Web Collection · profit −84 066.08₸ · invest 224 392.57₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

MAC-10 | Stalker (Factory New) instead of P250 | See Ya Later (Factory New); M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New): float at most 0.009319 instead of 0.008799
Craft 2239487 · The Shattered Web Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit −84 066.08₸ · invest 224 392.57₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

MAC-10 | Stalker (Factory New) instead of P250 | See Ya Later (Factory New); M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New): float at most 0.009319 instead of 0.008799
Craft 2238306 · The Wildfire Collection + The Chroma 2 Collection · profit −84 257.75₸ · invest 242 813.58₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

MAC-10 | Neon Rider (Factory New) instead of P250 | See Ya Later (Factory New); M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New): float at most 0.007975 instead of 0.008799
Craft 2238307 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit −84 257.75₸ · invest 242 813.58₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

MAC-10 | Neon Rider (Factory New) instead of P250 | See Ya Later (Factory New); M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New): float at most 0.007975 instead of 0.008799
Craft 2238376 · The Wildfire Collection + The Chroma 3 Collection · profit −86 981.96₸ · invest 245 537.80₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

PP-Bizon | Judgement of Anubis (Factory New) instead of P250 | See Ya Later (Factory New); M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New): float at most 0.008189 instead of 0.008799
Craft 2238377 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit −86 981.96₸ · invest 245 537.80₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

PP-Bizon | Judgement of Anubis (Factory New) instead of P250 | See Ya Later (Factory New); M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New): float at most 0.008189 instead of 0.008799
Craft 2239530 · The Wildfire Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit −87 403.27₸ · invest 238 727.37₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

USP-S | Neo-Noir (Factory New) instead of P250 | See Ya Later (Factory New)
Craft 2239531 · The Spectrum Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit −87 403.27₸ · invest 238 727.37₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

USP-S | Neo-Noir (Factory New) instead of P250 | See Ya Later (Factory New)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Wildfire Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 3 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 43 outcomes

More

How to build