The Gamma 2 Collection + The Falchion Collection

StatTrak™ Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit −18 567.30₴

Invest 30 053.09₴

Average return 11 485.79₴

ROI −61.8%

Chance of profit 9%

With float: invest at least 66 877.02 ₴, profit at most −55 391.23 ₴

The gain is understated: 1 outcome has no price, that is 6.2% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat: without them the profit is −20 394.92 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

≈2% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×1

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Neon Revolution

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0827

6 967.59 ₴

at 6 967.59

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1867

3 462.03 ₴

at 3 462.03

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0827

19 623.47 ₴

at 6 541.16

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 30 053.09 ₴ −18 567.30 (−61.8%)

What you get 43 outcomes

Profitable outcome 7%
Losing outcome 85%
About break-even 1%
Above the Steam cap 6%

Order

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.008615

15 094.71 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.036923

15 441.96 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Blue Steel

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.107692

13 481.63 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Stained

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.107692

5 762.48 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Case Hardened

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.107692

15 508.61 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Forest DDPAT

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.139692

5 631.14 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Boreal Forest

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.139692

8 302.44 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Crimson Web

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.139692

not on Steam: above the cap 6.15%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Night

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.139692

7 295.67 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Scorched

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.139692

4 885.69 ₴ 6.15%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Safari Mesh

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.139692

6 416.62 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Urban Masked

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.139692

8 316.75 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife

no wear

8 879.00 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

about break-even

★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Gamma Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.008615

35 169.50 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Freehand

Factory New

float up to 0.051692

11 648.09 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist

Steam

about break-even

★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Lore

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

34 928.48 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Black Laminate

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.107692

10 994.52 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Autotronic

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.091538

25 083.62 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Bright Water

Factory New

float up to 0.053846

15 345.06 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Gamma Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.008615

21 697.78 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Freehand

Factory New

float up to 0.051692

9 106.70 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Lore

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

28 872.19 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Black Laminate

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.107692

9 308.63 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Autotronic

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.091538

16 100.91 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Bright Water

Factory New

float up to 0.053846

13 307.97 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Gamma Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.008615

10 896.18 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Freehand

Factory New

float up to 0.051692

2 566.79 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Lore

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

15 239.27 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Black Laminate

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.107692

6 002.47 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Autotronic

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.091538

10 969.24 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Bright Water

Factory New

float up to 0.053846

4 515.03 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Gamma Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.008615

76 404.56 ₴ 0.67%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Freehand

Factory New

float up to 0.051692

47 043.68 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Lore

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

51 643.54 ₴ 0.67%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Black Laminate

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.107692

53 477.73 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

best

★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Autotronic

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.091538

80 914.60 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Bright Water

Factory New

float up to 0.053846

39 056.01 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Gamma Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.008615

51 670.95 ₴ 0.67%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Freehand

Factory New

float up to 0.051692

40 412.84 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Lore

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

54 920.14 ₴ 0.67%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Black Laminate

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.107692

40 096.60 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Autotronic

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.091538

39 894.88 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Bright Water

Factory New

float up to 0.053846

26 791.37 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Neon Revolution (Minimal Wear) × 1 16% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 6 967.59 → 15 050.00 ₴

StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Field-Tested) × 1 16% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 3 462.03 → 7 477.99 ₴

StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear) × 3 16% of the wear range fits at least ×2.26 19 623.47 → 44 349.03 ₴

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.107692208

outcomes come out up to 0.008615, 0.036923, 0.107692, 0.107692, 0.107692, 0.139692, 0.139692, 0.139692, 0.139692, 0.139692, 0.139692, 0.139692, 0.000000, 0.008615, 0.051692, 0.069999, 0.107692, 0.091538, 0.053846, 0.008615, 0.051692, 0.069999, 0.107692, 0.091538, 0.053846, 0.008615, 0.051692, 0.069999, 0.107692, 0.091538, 0.053846, 0.008615, 0.051692, 0.069999, 0.107692, 0.091538, 0.053846, 0.008615, 0.051692, 0.069999, 0.107692, 0.091538, 0.053846

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

No other variants in this recount

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −19 797.90 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −18 696.42 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Gamma 2 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 9 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2243334 · The Operation Riptide Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit −18 500.08₴ · invest 27 479.60₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Ocean Drive (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ AK-47 | Neon Revolution (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Field-Tested): float at most 0.182235 instead of 0.186703; StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.081212 instead of 0.082766
Craft 2243345 · The Falchion Collection + The Operation Riptide Collection · profit −18 500.08₴ · invest 27 479.60₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Ocean Drive (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ AK-47 | Neon Revolution (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Field-Tested): float at most 0.182235 instead of 0.186703; StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.081212 instead of 0.082766
Craft 2243268 · The Falchion Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit −18 567.30₴ · invest 30 053.09₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist
Craft 2243386 · The Prisma Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit −18 925.61₴ · invest 27 805.80₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Angry Mob (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ AK-47 | Neon Revolution (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Field-Tested): float at most 0.172865 instead of 0.186703; StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077953 instead of 0.082766
Craft 2243394 · The Falchion Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit −18 925.61₴ · invest 27 805.80₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Angry Mob (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ AK-47 | Neon Revolution (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Field-Tested): float at most 0.172865 instead of 0.186703; StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077953 instead of 0.082766
Craft 2242948 · The Falchion Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection · profit −19 345.72₴ · invest 28 569.86₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ MP9 | Starlight Protector (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ AK-47 | Neon Revolution (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Field-Tested): float at most 0.171355 instead of 0.186703; StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077428 instead of 0.082766
Craft 2242959 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit −19 345.72₴ · invest 28 569.86₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ MP9 | Starlight Protector (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ AK-47 | Neon Revolution (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Field-Tested): float at most 0.171355 instead of 0.186703; StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077428 instead of 0.082766
Craft 2243214 · The Fever Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit −19 501.31₴ · invest 27 563.34₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Bad Trip (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ AK-47 | Neon Revolution (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Field-Tested): float at most 0.174135 instead of 0.186703; StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078394 instead of 0.082766
Craft 2243222 · The Falchion Collection + The Fever Collection · profit −19 501.31₴ · invest 27 563.34₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Bad Trip (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ AK-47 | Neon Revolution (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Field-Tested): float at most 0.174135 instead of 0.186703; StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078394 instead of 0.082766

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Gamma 2 Collection + The Falchion Collection

How to build i Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 43 outcomes

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How to build