The Operation Riptide Collection + The Falchion Collection

StatTrak™ Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit −34 940.51₽

Invest 51 899.84₽

Average return 16 959.33₽

ROI −67.3%

Chance of profit 4%

With float: invest at least 115 809.88 ₽, profit at most −98 850.54 ₽

The gain is understated: 1 outcome has no price, that is 6.2% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat: without them the profit is −36 882.40 ₽

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

≈1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×1

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Ocean Drive

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1822

8 299.00 ₽

at 8 299.00

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1822

6 538.63 ₽

at 6 538.63

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0812

37 062.21 ₽

at 12 354.07

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 51 899.84 ₽ −34 940.51 (−67.3%)

What you get 43 outcomes

Profitable outcome 4%
Losing outcome 90%
Above the Steam cap 6%

Order

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.009729

28 508.89 ₽ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.040405

29 164.74 ₽ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Blue Steel

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

25 462.32 ₽ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Stained

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

10 883.41 ₽ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Case Hardened

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

29 290.61 ₽ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Forest DDPAT

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

10 635.35 ₽ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Boreal Forest

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

15 680.55 ₽ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Crimson Web

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

not on Steam: above the cap 6.15%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Night

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

13 779.09 ₽ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Scorched

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

9 227.44 ₽ 6.15%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Safari Mesh

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

12 118.87 ₽ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Urban Masked

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

15 707.57 ₽ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife

no wear

16 769.49 ₽ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

best

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.009729

136 172.18 ₽ 0.67%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Freehand

Factory New

float up to 0.058378

94 555.00 ₽ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Lore

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

125 228.07 ₽ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Autotronic

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.103378

75 880.60 ₽ 0.67%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Black Laminate

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

76 801.60 ₽ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Bright Water

Factory New

float up to 0.060810

88 769.09 ₽ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Gamma Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.009729

27 600.00 ₽ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Freehand

Factory New

float up to 0.058378

12 204.41 ₽ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Lore

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.079053

14 859.00 ₽ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Autotronic

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.103378

12 828.34 ₽ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Black Laminate

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

8 036.52 ₽ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Bright Water

Factory New

float up to 0.060810

11 024.14 ₽ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Gamma Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.009729

8 701.10 ₽ 0.67%

pricier variants exist 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Freehand

Factory New

float up to 0.058378

7 819.61 ₽ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Lore

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

7 615.56 ₽ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Autotronic

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.103378

7 371.51 ₽ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Black Laminate

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

5 700.00 ₽ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Bright Water

Factory New

float up to 0.060810

5 857.13 ₽ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Gamma Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.009729

21 719.68 ₽ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Freehand

Factory New

float up to 0.058378

10 812.07 ₽ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Lore

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

15 645.09 ₽ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Autotronic

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.103378

13 113.57 ₽ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Black Laminate

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

7 497.63 ₽ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Bright Water

Factory New

float up to 0.060810

9 665.90 ₽ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Gamma Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.009729

24 495.38 ₽ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Freehand

Factory New

float up to 0.058378

7 222.25 ₽ 0.67%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Lore

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.079053

13 304.66 ₽ 0.67%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Autotronic

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.103378

13 218.60 ₽ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Black Laminate

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

9 198.68 ₽ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Bright Water

Factory New

float up to 0.060810

9 634.95 ₽ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Ocean Drive (Field-Tested) × 1 14% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 8 299.00 → 17 925.84 ₽

StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Field-Tested) × 1 14% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 6 538.63 → 14 123.44 ₽

StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear) × 3 14% of the wear range fits at least ×2.26 37 062.21 → 83 760.59 ₽

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.121621522

outcomes come out up to 0.009729, 0.040405, 0.121621, 0.121621, 0.121621, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.000000, 0.009729, 0.058378, 0.121621, 0.103378, 0.121621, 0.060810, 0.009729, 0.058378, 0.079053, 0.103378, 0.121621, 0.060810, 0.009729, 0.058378, 0.121621, 0.103378, 0.121621, 0.060810, 0.009729, 0.058378, 0.121621, 0.103378, 0.121621, 0.060810, 0.009729, 0.058378, 0.079053, 0.103378, 0.121621, 0.060810

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

No other variants in this recount

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −37 116.28 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −35 115.17 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Operation Riptide Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 9 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2243345 · The Falchion Collection + The Operation Riptide Collection · profit −34 940.51₽ · invest 51 899.84₽
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist
Craft 2243257 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit −35 067.47₽ · invest 56 760.31₽
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Neon Revolution (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Ocean Drive (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Field-Tested): float at most 0.186703 instead of 0.182235; StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.082766 instead of 0.081212
Craft 2243268 · The Falchion Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit −35 067.47₽ · invest 56 760.31₽
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Neon Revolution (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Ocean Drive (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Field-Tested): float at most 0.186703 instead of 0.182235; StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.082766 instead of 0.081212
Craft 2243386 · The Prisma Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit −35 744.19₽ · invest 52 515.92₽
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Angry Mob (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Ocean Drive (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Field-Tested): float at most 0.172865 instead of 0.182235; StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077953 instead of 0.081212
Craft 2243394 · The Falchion Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit −35 744.19₽ · invest 52 515.92₽
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Angry Mob (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Ocean Drive (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Field-Tested): float at most 0.172865 instead of 0.182235; StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077953 instead of 0.081212
Craft 2242948 · The Falchion Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection · profit −36 537.64₽ · invest 53 958.97₽
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ MP9 | Starlight Protector (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Ocean Drive (Field-Tested); ★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Autotronic: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; ★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Lore: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; ★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Autotronic: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; ★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Autotronic: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Autotronic: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; ★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Lore: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; ★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Autotronic: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Field-Tested): float at most 0.171355 instead of 0.182235; StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077428 instead of 0.081212
Craft 2242959 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit −36 537.64₽ · invest 53 958.97₽
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ MP9 | Starlight Protector (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Ocean Drive (Field-Tested); ★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Autotronic: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; ★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Lore: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; ★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Autotronic: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; ★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Autotronic: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Autotronic: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; ★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Lore: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; ★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Autotronic: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Field-Tested): float at most 0.171355 instead of 0.182235; StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077428 instead of 0.081212
Craft 2243214 · The Fever Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit −36 831.50₽ · invest 52 058.00₽
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Bad Trip (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Ocean Drive (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Field-Tested): float at most 0.174135 instead of 0.182235; StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078394 instead of 0.081212
Craft 2243222 · The Falchion Collection + The Fever Collection · profit −36 831.50₽ · invest 52 058.00₽
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Bad Trip (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Ocean Drive (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Field-Tested): float at most 0.174135 instead of 0.182235; StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078394 instead of 0.081212

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Operation Riptide Collection + The Falchion Collection

How to build i Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 43 outcomes

More

How to build