The Operation Riptide Collection + The Falchion Collection

StatTrak™ Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit −186 762.55₸

Invest 277 412.85₸

Average return 90 650.30₸

ROI −67.3%

Chance of profit 4%

With float: invest at least 619 022.11 ₸, profit at most −528 371.76 ₸

The gain is understated: 1 outcome has no price, that is 6.2% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat: without them the profit is −197 142.26 ₸

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

≈1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×1

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Ocean Drive

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1822

44 359.47 ₸

at 44 359.47

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1822

34 950.01 ₸

at 34 950.01

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0812

198 103.37 ₸

at 66 034.46

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 277 412.85 ₸ −186 762.55 (−67.3%)

What you get 43 outcomes

Profitable outcome 4%
Losing outcome 90%
Above the Steam cap 6%

Order

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.009729

152 384.52 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.040405

155 890.14 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Blue Steel

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

136 100.12 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Stained

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

58 173.55 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Case Hardened

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

156 562.94 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Forest DDPAT

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

56 847.63 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Boreal Forest

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

83 815.02 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Crimson Web

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

not on Steam: above the cap 6.15%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Night

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

73 651.41 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Scorched

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

49 322.12 ₸ 6.15%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Safari Mesh

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

64 777.28 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Urban Masked

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

83 959.44 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife

no wear

89 635.57 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

best

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.009729

727 861.82 ₸ 0.67%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Freehand

Factory New

float up to 0.058378

505 411.42 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Lore

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

669 363.82 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Autotronic

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.103378

405 593.80 ₸ 0.67%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Black Laminate

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

410 516.69 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Bright Water

Factory New

float up to 0.060810

474 484.81 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Gamma Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.009729

147 526.36 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Freehand

Factory New

float up to 0.058378

65 234.50 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Lore

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.079053

79 423.70 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Autotronic

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.103378

68 569.50 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Black Laminate

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

42 956.47 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Bright Water

Factory New

float up to 0.060810

58 925.77 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Gamma Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.009729

46 508.75 ₸ 0.67%

pricier variants exist 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Freehand

Factory New

float up to 0.058378

41 797.05 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Lore

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

40 706.37 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Autotronic

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.103378

39 401.89 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Black Laminate

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

30 467.40 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Bright Water

Factory New

float up to 0.060810

31 307.29 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Gamma Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.009729

116 095.12 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Freehand

Factory New

float up to 0.058378

57 792.22 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Lore

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

83 625.48 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Autotronic

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.103378

70 094.10 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Black Laminate

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

40 076.02 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Bright Water

Factory New

float up to 0.060810

51 665.76 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Gamma Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.009729

130 931.68 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Freehand

Factory New

float up to 0.058378

38 604.07 ₸ 0.67%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Lore

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.079053

71 115.51 ₸ 0.67%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Autotronic

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.103378

70 655.51 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Black Laminate

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

49 168.40 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Bright Water

Factory New

float up to 0.060810

51 500.33 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Ocean Drive (Field-Tested) × 1 14% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 44 359.47 → 95 816.45 ₸

StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Field-Tested) × 1 14% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 34 950.01 → 75 492.02 ₸

StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear) × 3 14% of the wear range fits at least ×2.26 198 103.37 → 447 713.61 ₸

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.121621522

outcomes come out up to 0.009729, 0.040405, 0.121621, 0.121621, 0.121621, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.000000, 0.009729, 0.058378, 0.121621, 0.103378, 0.121621, 0.060810, 0.009729, 0.058378, 0.079053, 0.103378, 0.121621, 0.060810, 0.009729, 0.058378, 0.121621, 0.103378, 0.121621, 0.060810, 0.009729, 0.058378, 0.121621, 0.103378, 0.121621, 0.060810, 0.009729, 0.058378, 0.079053, 0.103378, 0.121621, 0.060810

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

No other variants in this recount

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −198 392.38 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −187 696.13 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Operation Riptide Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 9 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2243345 · The Falchion Collection + The Operation Riptide Collection · profit −186 762.53₸ · invest 277 412.85₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist
Craft 2243257 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit −187 441.16₸ · invest 303 392.83₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Neon Revolution (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Ocean Drive (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Field-Tested): float at most 0.186703 instead of 0.182235; StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.082766 instead of 0.081212
Craft 2243268 · The Falchion Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit −187 441.16₸ · invest 303 392.83₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Neon Revolution (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Ocean Drive (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Field-Tested): float at most 0.186703 instead of 0.182235; StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.082766 instead of 0.081212
Craft 2243386 · The Prisma Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit −191 058.36₸ · invest 280 705.89₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Angry Mob (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Ocean Drive (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Field-Tested): float at most 0.172865 instead of 0.182235; StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077953 instead of 0.081212
Craft 2243394 · The Falchion Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit −191 058.36₸ · invest 280 705.89₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Angry Mob (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Ocean Drive (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Field-Tested): float at most 0.172865 instead of 0.182235; StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077953 instead of 0.081212
Craft 2242948 · The Falchion Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection · profit −195 299.48₸ · invest 288 419.22₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ MP9 | Starlight Protector (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Ocean Drive (Field-Tested); ★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Autotronic: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; ★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Lore: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; ★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Autotronic: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; ★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Autotronic: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Autotronic: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; ★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Lore: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; ★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Autotronic: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Field-Tested): float at most 0.171355 instead of 0.182235; StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077428 instead of 0.081212
Craft 2242959 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit −195 299.48₸ · invest 288 419.22₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ MP9 | Starlight Protector (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Ocean Drive (Field-Tested); ★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Autotronic: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; ★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Lore: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; ★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Autotronic: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; ★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Autotronic: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Autotronic: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; ★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Lore: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; ★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Autotronic: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Field-Tested): float at most 0.171355 instead of 0.182235; StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077428 instead of 0.081212
Craft 2243214 · The Fever Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit −196 870.21₸ · invest 278 258.24₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Bad Trip (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Ocean Drive (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Field-Tested): float at most 0.174135 instead of 0.182235; StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078394 instead of 0.081212
Craft 2243222 · The Falchion Collection + The Fever Collection · profit −196 870.21₸ · invest 278 258.24₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Bad Trip (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Ocean Drive (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Field-Tested): float at most 0.174135 instead of 0.182235; StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078394 instead of 0.081212

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Operation Riptide Collection + The Falchion Collection

How to build i Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 43 outcomes

More

How to build