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The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Alpha Collection

Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +24 264.93₸

Invest 21 193.28₸

Average return 45 458.22₸

ROI +114.5%

Chance of profit 40%

With float: invest at least 52 347.43 ₸, profit at most −6 889.16 ₸

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −21 125 ₸

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

P250 | Facility Draft

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0038

106.90 ₸

at 21.38

Steam

×5

MP7 | Groundwater

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0743

21 086.38 ₸

at 4 217.28

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 21 193.28 ₸ +24 264.93 (+114.5%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −49 741 ₸

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

P250 | Facility Draft

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0055

85.52 ₸

at 21.38

Steam

×4

MP7 | Groundwater

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0763

16 869.10 ₸

at 4 217.28

Steam

×2

M249 | Jungle DDPAT

Factory New

buy 0.0600–0.0607

32 840.97 ₸

at 16 420.49

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 49 795.60 ₸ +4 727.15 (+9.5%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −70 363 ₸

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

P250 | Facility Draft

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0054

42.76 ₸

at 21.38

Steam

×5

MP7 | Groundwater

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0762

21 086.38 ₸

at 4 217.28

Steam

×3

M249 | Jungle DDPAT

Factory New

buy 0.0600–0.0607

49 261.46 ₸

at 16 420.49

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 70 390.60 ₸ +2 261.16 (+3.2%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 40%
Losing outcome 60%

at a loss

Galil AR | Cold Fusion

Factory New

float up to 0.011216

270.25 ₸ 12.50%

Steam

at a loss

M4A4 | Mainframe

Factory New

float up to 0.006756

122.51 ₸ 12.50%

Steam

at a loss

MP7 | Motherboard

Factory New

float up to 0.006756

124.65 ₸ 12.50%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Negev | Bulkhead

Factory New

float up to 0.006756

106.85 ₸ 12.50%

Steam

in profit

best

Glock-18 | Sand Dune

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

355 044.10 ₸ 10.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

Negev | Palm

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

40 835.62 ₸ 10.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

P250 | Facets

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

17 669.65 ₸ 10.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

Sawed-Off | Mosaico

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

41 750.12 ₸ 10.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

SSG 08 | Mayan Dreams

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

66 689.88 ₸ 10.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Alpha Collection

Variant 2 The Lake Collection instead of The Alpha Collection Variant 3 The Safehouse Collection instead of The Alpha Collection Variant 4 The Train Collection instead of The Alpha Collection Variant 5 The Ancient Collection instead of The Alpha Collection Variant 6 The Dust 2 Collection instead of The Alpha Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +2 495.07 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +23 228.99 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2018 Nuke Collection and The Alpha Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 11 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2253238 · The Alpha Collection + The Safehouse Collection · profit 24 616.00₸ · invest 21 262.77₸
profit on prices without salesat least −20 918 ₸ rare inputs

Tec-9 | Army Mesh (Factory New) instead of P250 | Facility Draft (Factory New); MP7 | Groundwater (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074809 instead of 0.074357
Craft 2247438 · The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Alpha Collection · profit 24 411.20₸ · invest 21 192.48₸
profit on prices without salesat least −21 137 ₸ rare inputs

AUG | Sweeper (Factory New) instead of P250 | Facility Draft (Factory New); MP7 | Groundwater (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074809 instead of 0.074357
Craft 2249692 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Alpha Collection · profit 24 344.08₸ · invest 21 392.39₸
profit on prices without salesat least −21 046 ₸ rare inputs

Souvenir P250 | Drought (Factory New) instead of P250 | Facility Draft (Factory New); MP7 | Groundwater (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074045 instead of 0.074357
Craft 2253181 · The Alpha Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 24 327.22₸ · invest 21 162.02₸
profit on prices without salesat least −21 063 ₸ rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Thermal Currents (Factory New) instead of P250 | Facility Draft (Factory New); MP7 | Groundwater (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074809 instead of 0.074357
Craft 2248861 · The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Alpha Collection · profit 24 290.42₸ · invest 21 533.50₸
profit on prices without salesat least −21 225 ₸ rare inputs

Souvenir SG 553 | Bleached (Factory New) instead of P250 | Facility Draft (Factory New)
Craft 2253130 · The Alpha Collection + The Ascent Collection · profit 24 283.28₸ · invest 21 166.56₸
profit on prices without salesat least −21 107 ₸ rare inputs

Galil AR | Grey Smoke (Factory New) instead of P250 | Facility Draft (Factory New); MP7 | Groundwater (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074809 instead of 0.074357
Craft 2253141 · The Alpha Collection + The Boreal Collection · profit 24 277.67₸ · invest 21 166.56₸
profit on prices without salesat least −21 113 ₸ rare inputs

M249 | Sage Camo (Factory New) instead of P250 | Facility Draft (Factory New); MP7 | Groundwater (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074809 instead of 0.074357
Craft 2252410 · The Achroma Collection + The Alpha Collection · profit 24 270.70₸ · invest 21 157.47₸
profit on prices without salesat least −21 120 ₸ rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Zinc (Factory New) instead of P250 | Facility Draft (Factory New); MP7 | Groundwater (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074809 instead of 0.074357
Craft 2253222 · The Alpha Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 24 265.69₸ · invest 21 158.54₸
profit on prices without salesat least −21 125 ₸ rare inputs

Nova | Marsh Grass (Factory New) instead of P250 | Facility Draft (Factory New); MP7 | Groundwater (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074592 instead of 0.074357
Craft 2253125 · The Alpha Collection + The Anubis Collection · profit 24 238.30₸ · invest 21 724.59₸
profit on prices without salesat least −21 152 ₸ rare inputs

AUG | Snake Pit (Factory New) instead of P250 | Facility Draft (Factory New); MP7 | Groundwater (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074592 instead of 0.074357
Craft 2250989 · The 2021 Vertigo Collection + The Alpha Collection · profit 24 139.37₸ · invest 22 155.95₸
profit on prices without salesat least −21 751 ₸ rare inputs

Souvenir Dual Berettas | Oil Change (Factory New) instead of P250 | Facility Draft (Factory New)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Alpha Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 9 outcomes

More

How to build